Credit Crunch watch: the real story begins to emerge


The true extent and impact of losses associated with the sub-prime crisis are now beginning to emerge for the forst time.  UBS are cutting 1,500 positions to recoup $3.4Bn in losses, and Citi coming in at $1.3Bn. BBC NEWS | Business | Banks detail US mortgage losses Swiss bank UBS was worst hit, forced to write down 4bn Swiss francs ($3.4bn; £1.67bn) of losses due to its exposure to US sub-prime bad debt. UBS said it would now cut 1,500 jobs and make extensive management changes. US giant Citigroup said its sub-prime losses would total $1.3bn, in addition to $2.6bn … Continue reading Credit Crunch watch: the real story begins to emerge

Signs of credit tightening in Canada


Some insightful remarks about the state of Canadian financial markets, and the impacts of the sub prime mortgage effects on world. My take on the three points: some FI’s are having trouble with market funding some banks are raising significantly higher liquidity, through debt at historically higher rates differentials above government bonds and the kicker … banks are reputedly going to repatriate mortgages back into their balance sheets. This is a strange grouping of facts. This suggests to me that the mortgage securitisation market is drying up, and that banks will have to self fund their mortgage growth, and at … Continue reading Signs of credit tightening in Canada

First the bad news … | Sub Prime crisis – the next 6 – 12 month view


The simple message here, is that the dollar value of sub prime mortgages (dark grey bars) that are subject to reset [read significant increase in loan payment amount] is still growing, and continues until October 2007 ($33 Bn in October), suggesting bad news still to come. However resets then begin to drop through till end of 2008, when its down to a relative trickle. The significant dark grey form Jan 2007, through to Dec 2008 will generate a lag effect through 2008, and well into 2009 on the US housing market. [hat tip mypocketchange] My Pocket Change » Pssst… I … Continue reading First the bad news … | Sub Prime crisis – the next 6 – 12 month view

Run on the Bank – Northern Rock


Following a request to Bank of England for liquidity support, Northern Rock [£24 billion of customer deposits] is experiencing a run on the Bank.  A likely next step will be a takeover, particularly as the share value has dropped significantly. The NR business model has been to grow aggressively, funding the growth with expensive wholesale funding.  That funding dried up, following the sub-prime crisis.  Yet another example that suggests its time to get back to basics. Run on the bank – Times Online A retired hotelier and his wife barricaded the Cheltenham branch manager in her office after being told … Continue reading Run on the Bank – Northern Rock

Bank of England bails out Northern Rock


A move that takes us back to the 80’s, with B of E bailing out a British Bank.  Can’t help but feel this is one of several across the world to come.  There was one earlier in Germany. Northern Rock is bailed out by Bank of England – Times Online In a rare move, the Bank of England agreed to throw the bank a lifeline and become the “lender of last resort”, effectively agreeing the first bailout of a British bank since money markets went into crisis over the summer. Continue reading Bank of England bails out Northern Rock

OBR | “Credit Monitoring Services; The robust business case … “


Online Banking Report takes on a tough topic, and does an exemplary job.  There is a lot of mystery and unknown about credit reports, not to mention its not the most exciting topic.  This report (44 pages) does a good job of sorting through the customer view, detailing why people are interested in them, including security, and identity theft protection, as well as the market size, and the individual providers. The report then goes on to explore the opportunity for FI’s to offer credit reports as a value add service, which includes helping people understand the intrinsic value of such … Continue reading OBR | “Credit Monitoring Services; The robust business case … “

Sub-Prime woes defined


This comment summarises the current situation reason for market panic quite well.  How and why anyone is willing to invest billions with no knowledge of the underlying investment is frightening. Canadian Banks & Insurance One reason for the sudden nervousness about the securities is that in many cases the holders don’t know what kinds of debt they have. Given the surprises in the U.S. subprime market, investors are panicking and they don’t want to own asset-backed commercial paper any more. However some of the biggest investors in the market are the banks. Analysts say that gives them a major incentive … Continue reading Sub-Prime woes defined

Banks, Oil and Pharmaceuticals dominate large companies


Nicolas takes some data on the worlds top companies, and assesses the list using the axes of absolute size and profitability.  Of the top three, one Bank (Bank of America) makes it, with two others close by (HSBC & CitiBank).  Banks, Oil and Pharmaceuticals dominate. Translated version of http://nicolasguillaume.typepad.fr/nicolas_guillaume/2007/08/quelles-sont-le.html Only 3 companies are present on the two tables (it is the case to say it) and combine high rate of profitability and benefit in absolute value high. Bank of America Gazprom Pfizer Continue reading Banks, Oil and Pharmaceuticals dominate large companies

Lending standards tighten for everyone


As expected Banks are tightening their lending standards.  Its ironic because those that suffer are not impacted by the sub-prime matter.  Their personal circumstances have not changed one iota.  This change is purely a reflection of tighter money markets, which drives up Banks capital costs, and then the risk assessment and pricing groups re-calibrating their yields. Loan standards tighten | csmonitor.com Since the beginning of the month, lenders have tightened their standards. They are now very reluctant to make high-risk loans to individuals with spotty credit records. They’re also requiring higher down payments, meaning that home buyers need to have … Continue reading Lending standards tighten for everyone

“Make it much easier for consumers to find those institutions whose revenue models most meet their needs” | Bankwatch Interviews Marc Hedlund, Wesabe


After the post on Wesabe and their new API, I was fortunate enough to be able to pose some questions to Marc. I chose three questions, and I am thrilled at the result and the time Marc took to provide his valuable insights. In particular, I would point readers towards two takeaways that I got from this: Wesabe is 100% consumer oriented, and specifically around the disproportionate increase in Bank fees, which is out of sync with both costs, and Banks’ brand messages how Wesabe views information, and through a combination of interpreted data, plus users evaluations, can produce meaningful … Continue reading “Make it much easier for consumers to find those institutions whose revenue models most meet their needs” | Bankwatch Interviews Marc Hedlund, Wesabe