Tik Tok appears before US Congress


TikTok caught in US-China battle over its powerful algorithm – FT TikTok’s chief executive Shou Zi Chew will insist to Congress this week that the Chinese-owned social media app has “never shared, or received a request to share” data on its 150mn US users with Beijing. His defence of TikTok on Capitol Hill comes as the US and Chinese governments are battling for control over the algorithm that powers it, in a geopolitical tug of war over the app’s future. Chew – “TikTok has never shared, or received a request to share, US user data with the Chinese government. Nor … Continue reading Tik Tok appears before US Congress

Payments Canada introduces Lynx Release Two Payments


2023-03-22 Payments Canada Payments Canada introduces data-rich messages to high-value payments in Canada with Lynx Release Two Introduction Here is the verbatim release from Payments Canada for my future reference. It is worth noting that ISO 20022 is the recognised protocol for messaging going forward. — — March 21, 2023 ISO 20022 will support the introduction of new financial products and services for consumers and businesses across Canada OTTAWA, March 21, 2023 – Today, Payments Canada announced the launch of the second release of Lynx, Canada’s high-value payment system. This follows the successful launch of Lynx in August 2021, replacing … Continue reading Payments Canada introduces Lynx Release Two Payments

OSFI (Canada) increases pace of Bank Regulation following SVB collapse


The Canada banking regulator (OSFI) is increasing the pace of reporting required of Banks. Here follows notes on a few items of note related to increasing risk pre and post SVB. OSFI increases monitoring to daily Globe and Mail Canada’s regulator is taking extra precautions. OSFI has told banks that, starting as early as Tuesday and until further notice, they will be required to send the regulator liquidity reports each day through an existing monitoring tool that tracks banks’ financial positions, the two sources said. The added monitoring is not a sign of imminent concern, they said, but it is … Continue reading OSFI (Canada) increases pace of Bank Regulation following SVB collapse

What I am watching 2023-03-24


OSFI to start daily monitoring of Canadian banks’ liquidity in wake of SVB failure. Globe and Mail. Bundesbank chief says rate-setters must be ‘more stubborn’ in inflation fight. FT Financial turmoil complicates central banks’ focus on inflation FT What to Know Ahead of the Fed’s Interest-Rate Decision Bloomberg All eyes in the financial and economic world will be laser-focused Wednesday on the Federal Reserve as Chair Jerome Powell tries to balance his fight against inflation against a sudden banking crisis. RBC tells employees to return to the office three or four days a week TikTok caught in US-China battle over … Continue reading What I am watching 2023-03-24

Are Banks showing Stress from the Commercial Real Estate Market?


Commercial Real Estate This is a topic I have been wondering about and the potential impact on the greater economy and Bank Balance Sheets in particular. This Bloomberg podcast caught my attention. It is short on deep detail but does provide a high level overview. Main takeaways LTV (Loan to Value) CRE generally exhibits low LTV of 30% on average with pockets of higher risk. Holders of CRE A high proportion of CRE is held on Bank balance sheets. Other owners: Conclusion There is no immediate concern or systemic risotto banks at the moment. — Bloomberg Odd Lots Podcast – … Continue reading Are Banks showing Stress from the Commercial Real Estate Market?

IPCC SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT (AR6)


Summary for Policymakers. INTERLAKEN, Switzerland, March 20, 2023 — There are multiple, feasible and effective options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to human-caused climate change, and they are available now, said scientists in the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report released today. Aditi Mukherji, one of the 93 authors of this Synthesis Report “Almost half of the world’s population lives in regions that are highly vulnerable to climate change. In the last decade, deaths from floods, droughts and storms were 15 times higher in highly vulnerable regions,“ she added The Summary Report IPCC AR6 UN released … Continue reading IPCC SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT (AR6)

Weekend Read: SVB exposes a significant carry trade problem – follow up


As I mentioned in last post, I have been drilling down on a few themes that look at potential root cause for the bank failures of banks this week: Introduction Here are the bank failures as of Mar 17th that I am aware of SVB Signature Credit Suisse First Republic Silvergate Failures have been all American but with offices in Canada, UK and Japan for now. The government response has largely been focussed on solving each failure with a refusal to acknowledge system risk to banking.JP Morgan have featured in US solutions, HSB in Britain and UBS in Switzerland. The … Continue reading Weekend Read: SVB exposes a significant carry trade problem – follow up

SVB exposes a significant carry trade problem


This is the consequence of the Fed having left monetary policy too loose for too long Gillian writes an excellent piece that adds colour to the root cause discussion on SVB. It captures a thought process set of risks not addressed by Dodd-Frank, OSFI or British regulation which all more broadly focus on discrete individual FI’s and less the systemic risks in the market that few want to touch. Already I sense the market participants are glossing over the crisis and suggesting it is contained. I disagree and am doing my own analysis to test that hypothesis. It is time … Continue reading SVB exposes a significant carry trade problem