SVB and beginning to understand the reasons behind failure


SVB were an attractive bank to startups and participants in the tech community. Money was parked with them and SVB invested it in safe assets including government bonds. As 2022 progressed the start up community was have its own fund squeeze and SVB customers made larger than expected withdrawal requests (larger than expected by SVB funds managers). SVB had to go to the market and without conditions or other rules in place had to liquidate bonds to make good on the customer withdrawal requests. Fed tightening policies resulted in higher interest rates which in bond market language is funded by … Continue reading SVB and beginning to understand the reasons behind failure

Silicon Valley Bank liquidation is proceeding quickly so far


Alternative lenders and hedge funds are swooping in to pick up deposits at 70c on the dollar. We can picture politicians and central banks in US, Britain, Europe and Canada working the midnight shift to pull together a solution and successfully take over the liabilities of SVB and close the FDIC file asap and before next week’s market open. [] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-11/hedge-funds-banks-offer-to-buy-deposits-as-svb-fails-reports Oaktree is among hedge funds that have offered to buy the deposits, with bids ranging from 60 cents to 80 cents on the dollar, Semafor said, citing people familiar with the matter. The bids reflect a range of expectations … Continue reading Silicon Valley Bank liquidation is proceeding quickly so far

Weekend Read: On China and Middle East – Saudi Arabia and Iran


Iran and Saudi Arabia just agreed to restore relations, with support from China but importantly no direct action by them. I am watching China a lot these days because there are economic and political influences that impact Banks, western markets and economic valuations. China just by its size creates impact just with small movements – literally the elephant in the room. It is the more significant with one single authoritarian leader. I am in the camp that says US policy impressing China to become more authoritarian to balance US rhetoric making this a western problem if its own making. So … Continue reading Weekend Read: On China and Middle East – Saudi Arabia and Iran

Mounting Cyber Threats Mean Financial Firms Urgently Need Better Safeguards


Regulators and supervisors must act now to strengthen the prudential framework. This from the IMF blog and quoted below. Here is the summary under the following heading to actions than need to be taken according to IMF. In general I agree but would flush out more and in particular focus on the known common activities I would expect to see in any Bank or Regulators CyberStrategy. Broadly the IMF proposes the right things for a reactive strategy, but what pro-active measures are needed. I would have included the foreword looking elements I documented here. on “Zero Trust and persistence theory” … Continue reading Mounting Cyber Threats Mean Financial Firms Urgently Need Better Safeguards

Straight Through Processing as a core component of a Banks digital evolution


Kriasis produces many views digital on LinkedIn. This one caught my attention taking what he describes as a platform view. What caught my attention is that it frames a conversation on the topic and moving items around still works in the bigger picture when thinking about one bank. Extract from full pic below Use of the platform view works because it fits with network effects, partnering, integrators, cloud providers, customers and how they all fit with other partners’ platforms. The third column is the main target for most banks with end to end origination. One piece that needs adding here … Continue reading Straight Through Processing as a core component of a Banks digital evolution

Could this be the start of a much bigger problem?” For Banks


As this Bloomberg piece puts it: “One bank folds, another wobbles and Wall Street asks if it’s a crisis” before going on to question: “Could this be the start of a much bigger problem?” “Rising interest rates have left banks laden with low interest bonds that can’t be sold in a hurry without losses. So if too many customers tap their deposits at once, it risks a vicious cycle.” It’s hit EU banks (their shares are set for their biggest drop since June) and also banks in the UK: HSBC, Barclays, NatWest, Standard Chartered and Lloyds have all seen losses … Continue reading Could this be the start of a much bigger problem?” For Banks

National People’s Congress voted unanimously for Xi Jingping third term


National People’s Congress (NPC), voted unanimously in the Great Hall of the People for the 69-year-old Xi Jingping He has centralized power at a moment in time that China has many significant problems and risks not least of which are created by American policy. Is Xi the problem or American policy. My iPhones and macs will cost more as Apple mitigates risk by moving to Hyberdad. This is one of many American made cost increases to one supply chain. BEIJING, March 10 (Reuters) – Xi Jinping secured a precedent-breaking third term as president of China on Friday during a parliamentary … Continue reading National People’s Congress voted unanimously for Xi Jingping third term

Chinese CPI inflation hits slowest pace in 12 months as demand lags


Thomas Hale in Shanghai FT. Significantly large drops in China economy suggest worldwide impact. Thomas Hale in Shanghai FT Prices in China rose at their slowest pace in a year in February, tempering expectations for an economic rebound. Consumer prices added 1 per cent, the smallest rise in 12 months. Producer prices fell 1.4 per cent after four consecutives months of declines. Both readings missed economists’ expectations. While the low reading was affected by food prices and partly attributed to the timing of Chinese new year, it also brought echoes of the consistently weak consumer demand under the country’s pandemic-era … Continue reading Chinese CPI inflation hits slowest pace in 12 months as demand lags

Amazon Pauses Construction on Second Headquarters in Virginia as It Cuts Jobs


Delay affects three office towers, ‘Helix’ conference center Move coincides with biggest job cuts ever, remote work reality Amazon were leading on real estate from as recently as 2 years ago with new warehouses and office space around the world. They were even portrayed as taking up office blocks emptied during work from home. The delay affects a larger phase across the street. It calls for three, 22-story office towers and the 350-foot-tall (107-meter) Helix, a corporate conference center and indoor garden designed to echo the Spheres, plant-filled orbs at the heart of the company’s Seattle headquarters. Arlington officials granted … Continue reading Amazon Pauses Construction on Second Headquarters in Virginia as It Cuts Jobs