Boris Johnson received a lot of criticism following release of this document yesterday.  I would suggest that this is a well written business document, and while it may not be something 99% of the population would take the time to read, for the 1% the document provides a business oriented history and timeline of the lockdown process and a way out. Now the way out is open to debate, but it is a roadmap with clear targets and measurable actions. FINAL_6.6637_CO_HMG_C19_Recovery_FINAL_110522-_comp Continue reading HM Government – Lockdown – “Our Plan to Rebuild”

Here is my follow up to April 5th, 2020 post. My own non-scientific assessments as of April 5th, 2020. [it is remarkable how much information has been shared since that date] Here are the available options that I can see. – wait for the antidote (Q2 2021) – wait for the antibody test (Months away) – muddle through: slowly re-introduce working in the office for low risk staff. Possibly introduce random or systemic testing of employees who have returned (if such is available) – UBC model featuring on/ off approach based on Government indication that hospital capacity, particularly ICU, is … Continue reading Banks’ considerations for the end of covid-19 lockdown – followup – 2

Government of Ontario weekly growth numbers.  Note Ontario which began “re-opening” remains at R=~ 1 covid-19-epi-growth-ontario_2020-05-09 Continue reading Government of Ontario weekly growth 2020-05-09

In more positive news, Williams said that for the first time, Ontario’s basic reproduction number has fallen below one, meaning that on average, each newly infected person is passing the virus on to less than one other person. He said in some parts of the province, the reproduction number or R0 has fallen to about 0.8, but in other parts, it remains well above 1, closer to 1.3. The 477 new cases confirmed on Friday translate into a positive rate of about 2.9 per cent on the more than 16,000 tests conducted. That’s up marginally from a positive rate of … Continue reading He said in some parts of the province, the reproduction number or R0 has fallen to about 0.8

New covid-19 model released by Province of Ontario. Continue reading New model released by Province of Ontario

COVID-19 has its own syndromes not the least of which is survival with the same person 24/7. So what do the experts think and who are the experts. The Times suggests Nuns. I normally link only or quote but given the pervasive result of lockdown I trust The Times will permit an exception with full attribution. The Times Apr 20th, 2020 https://apple.news/AN_Z4EcpLTc2oBbTI4HQk5Q https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/how-to-survive-lockdown-by-the-nuns-who-do-it-24-7-nb823d2mb How to survive lockdown, by the nuns who do it 24/7 You may be climbing the walls after a few weeks inside, but for enclosed nuns this is a way of life — so what can we … Continue reading COVID-19 has its own syndromes not the least of which is survival with the same person 24/7.