“That contagion stuff is real” | Moynihan BofA


Some contradictory comments coming from BofA and Morgan Stanley.  Definite shades of 2008 in the wind.  Last time it was US Subprime mortgages.  This time it is sovereign debt.  Different catalyst, same result.  Bank of America chief executive Brian Moynihan said he is confident the bank can withstand any fallout from the European sovereign debt crisis, even if it hurts the US, Bloomberg reports. “That contagion stuff is real,” Mr Moynihan said during an event in Washington on Wednesday. Banks’ business models are no longer well designed to operate in times of financial stress. The ever tighter relationship between banks … Continue reading “That contagion stuff is real” | Moynihan BofA

European Banks destined for government ownership


The Great Unwinding is playing out as the European banks are now destined to look just like the British banks with extensive ownership by respective governments on the way, with commensurate reduction in innovation capacity. How to recapitalise a continent’s banks Analysts at JPMorgan have modelled for a “base-case” capital injection requirement across the European banking sector of about €150bn, rising to €230bn under more bearish economic stresses. Nomura puts the number at €200bn, Morgan Stanley’s estimate is up to €190bn. Continue reading European Banks destined for government ownership

Steve Jobs–one more thing


NYTimes Steven P. Jobs, the visionary co-founder of Apple, has died at 56. By JOHN MARKOFF Published: October 5, 2011 Steven P. Jobs, the visionary co-founder of Apple who helped usher in the era of personal computers and then led a cultural transformation in the way music, movies and mobile communications were experienced in the digital age, died Wednesday. He was 56. The death was announced by Apple, the company Mr. Jobs and his high school friend Stephen Wozniak started in 1976 in a suburban California garage. A friend of the family said that Mr. Jobs died of complications from pancreatic cancer, … Continue reading Steve Jobs–one more thing

Inflation requires some better measurement and fresh assumptions | CD Howe


CD Howe argue in a new paper (pdf) that the Canadian central bank reliance on Core inflation as an argument that we should not worry about the Headline inflation rate (Consumer Price Index – CPI) is at best misleading.  Core inflation strips out the supposedly volatile components. The first problem with the Bank of Canada argument is that consumers pay for things that are stripped out in the core rate.  Furthermore they note that the argument that the CPI will naturally gravitate to the Core rate over time no longer holds water as display here.  There has been a significant … Continue reading Inflation requires some better measurement and fresh assumptions | CD Howe

RBC just launched its Android app


RBC have released the Android version of their mobile banking application.  Here are some stats provided by RBC on their mobile success to date since Dec 2010.  I am a fan of their iPhone app, and its nice to see them rounded out on Android, iPhone and Blackberry now. Mobile banking apps have certainly proven to be an attractive banking option for RBC clients.  Since the initial launch in December 2010, mobile banking apps have resulted in: • 800,000 unique downloads to date • On average, clients checking their account balance over 12 times every month • Over 1.6 million … Continue reading RBC just launched its Android app

Amazon Silk is a game changer and now the cloud makes sense


Once in a while a technology shift is big enough to require mention.  Amazon Silk fits that category.  I was sitting with some developer folks listening to a conversation about this stuff and relating it to what Amazon has done.  Basically browsers are not very smart and work on architecture that is more than 20 years old. In simple terms when you click a link today, it sends several requests to the server and receives the responses. If there are 20 pictures on the page, you need 20 requests and responses, plus a few others for handling the general page. … Continue reading Amazon Silk is a game changer and now the cloud makes sense

Groupon efforts to give a bad name to accounting are caught out


The Groupon situation continues to deteriorate.  As noted earlier, their financial forecasts were full of holes.  Now they are altering their revenue forecast to reflect the earlier fiction of gross income which is now restated to reflect payments to merchants.  If a groupon costs $10 then $5 +/- is paid to the merchant.  Previously Groupon claimed $10 as revenue.  Their restated S-1 to the SEC reflects real revenue as $5 in this example. Who knows if they will even make IPO.  There is so much insidiousness about this company.  Their last raise was designed to pay out investors and founders.  … Continue reading Groupon efforts to give a bad name to accounting are caught out