Tag: AGI

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Productivity growth levels comparable to those seen during the Industrial Revolution through AGI development will likely require extensive interdisciplinary collaboration

Colin Henderson

Here are some key areas of collaboration that seem necessary, with speculative examples drawing parallels to Industrial Revolution innovations: Speculating further, we might see the emergence of entirely new interdisciplinary fields, such as “AGI-Human Symbiosis Studies” or “Cognitive Economics,” which could drive innovations we can hardly imagine today. The key to achieving Industrial Revolution-level productivity growth will likely lie in fostering a collaborative ecosystem where these diverse disciplines can cross-pollinate ideas and rapidly translate theoretical breakthroughs into practical applications. Appendix – Sources used in development of this preliminary list [1] Generative Al https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/7715488/6b52fa2c-7d10-4e62-873c-72b33a093504/TSGWhitepaperQ32023GenerativeAI-2.pdf%5B2%5D [PDF] Factor prices and productivity growth during … Continue reading Productivity growth levels comparable to those seen during the Industrial Revolution through AGI development will likely require extensive interdisciplinary collaboration

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Interdisciplinary collaboration plays a crucial role in advancing Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)

Colin Henderson

The current suite of AI models can generally be categorized as “narrow” in the sense they satisfy a narrow set of related functions, and are closer to advanced digital process automation. Business deployment is heavily focussed on chat functions. Witness this weeks Salesforce results. Their CTO outlined their successes in offering their vision platform to multiple industries and growing rapidly in this lucrative market. but underlying their success is their offering as automated chat and CRM customer case management, recording and processing. AI enhances productivity through human displacement. However I submit their model is hardly transformative to the business model … Continue reading Interdisciplinary collaboration plays a crucial role in advancing Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)

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Several key breakthroughs are suggested as necessary for achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI):

Colin Henderson

Open source research suggests these are areas of LLM development which are holding back real shifts in Gen AI development. Series parts: It’s important to note that there is ongoing debate in the AI research community about which of these breakthroughs are truly necessary for AGI, and whether some might be achieved through scaling existing approaches or require fundamentally new paradigms. The timeline for achieving these breakthroughs and realizing AGI remains uncertain and controversial among experts. Sources[1] Generative Al https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/7715488/6b52fa2c-7d10-4e62-873c-72b33a093504/TSGWhitepaperQ32023GenerativeAI-2.pdf%5B2%5D The Quest for Achieving Artificial General Intelligence – CMSWire.com https://www.cmswire.com/digital-experience/the-quest-for-achieving-artificial-general-intelligence/%5B3%5D Why Artificial General Intelligence Lies Beyond Deep Learning | RAND … Continue reading Several key breakthroughs are suggested as necessary for achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI):

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Summary of overall Gen AI status

Colin Henderson

This blog is working toward progress for siginificant productivity gains in business and the economy on a scale which exceeds the Industrial Revolution. A working assumption is the requirement to achieve AGI as a first stepping stone. This series is in 5 parts on the current state of Generative AI, including minimum stepping stones necessary to acheive AGI. AGI will not be achieved through money and investment in technology along; indeed thoughtful and broader investment and collaboration beyond technology and is required. The notion of AGI is often related to development of sentient humans. Sentient is hardly a commonplace word, … Continue reading Summary of overall Gen AI status

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Summers Says Fed Recovered From ‘Egregious’ Inflation Mistake

Colin Henderson

Former Treasury chief says new mistake is estimate of neutral Summers would be surprised if Fed cuts as much as market sees Chris AnsteyAugust 23, 2024 at 1:03 PM EDT Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said that, while the Federal Reserve hit a “low point” in its monetary policy history by failing to act quickly against the 2021 inflation surge, in the end it did enough to right the economy. “I’ve got to give the Fed credit,” Summers said on Bloomberg Television’s Wall Street Week with David Westin on Friday. “While it wasn’t always obvious that this would be the case, they moved strongly enough and … Continue reading Summers Says Fed Recovered From ‘Egregious’ Inflation Mistake

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Conversation with Francois Chollet and Mike Knoop on the $1 million ARC-AGI Prize they’re launching

Colin Henderson

https://open.substack.com/pub/dwarkesh “Okay, today, I have the pleasure to speak with Francois Chollet, who is an AI researcher at Google and creator of Keras. And he’s launching a prize in collaboration with Mike Knoop, the co-founder of Zapier, who we’ll also be talking to in a second, a million dollar prize to solve the ARC benchmark that he created. So first question, what is the ARC benchmark? And why do you even need this prize? Why won’t the biggest alum we have in a year be able to just saturate it? Sure. So ARC is intended as a kind of IQ … Continue reading Conversation with Francois Chollet and Mike Knoop on the $1 million ARC-AGI Prize they’re launching

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AI timelines: What do experts in artificial intelligence expect for the future?

Colin Henderson

Many AI experts believe there is a real chance that human-level artificial intelligence will be developed within the next decades, and some believe that it will exist much sooner. By: Max Roser February 7, 2023 Cite this articleReuse our work freely Artificial intelligence (AI) that surpasses our own intelligence sounds like the stuff from science-fiction books or films. What do experts in the field of AI research think about such scenarios? Do they dismiss these ideas as fantasy, or are they taking such prospects seriously? A human-level AI would be a machine, or a network of machines, capable of carrying out … Continue reading AI timelines: What do experts in artificial intelligence expect for the future?

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Future Republican administration proposes support for military AI development

Colin Henderson

The results of this proposed initiative is directly opposed to current US policy and EU/ British policy which are focussed solely on restrictions and managing risk. This approach dubbed mini Manhattan Projects are a positive and will encourage broadened AI development in such a key area as defence. It is highly positive for silicon valley companies such as Palantir (Peter Thiel). After repealing Biden’s AI order, draft would create “Manhattan Projects” for military AI BENJ EDWARDS –  7/17/2024, 10:44 AM Allies of former President Donald Trump have reportedly drafted a sweeping AI executive order that aims to boost military technology and reduce … Continue reading Future Republican administration proposes support for military AI development