Some facts on QE3


Here is a quick summary of facts on QE3 announced by the US Federal Reserve today. First courtesy of my favourite site for what it all means – ZeroHedge Putting it all together, the Fed’s balance sheet will increase from just over $2.8 trillion currently, to $4 trillion on December 25, 2013. A total increase of $1.17 trillion.   And this is from somewhere less than 1 trillion right before the banking crisis.  Currently US GDP runs at $15 trillion, so the Fed balance sheet will hold treasuries and other mortgage debt of about 25% of GDP. Yield on mortgage … Continue reading Some facts on QE3

Perhaps a smart proposal coming from the Liikanen committee


An interesting but probably expected if I think about it development anticipated to be coming from Euro banking regulation.  When confronted with US and UK approaches why not pick both.  In this case though this might be ok in terms of being more more practical to install and actually have the required effect. EU banks face ringfence on trading assets | ft.com With a month to go until the Liikanen review is due to be completed, people close to the project said a clear majority was emerging in favour of a combination of the US and UK approach to structural … Continue reading Perhaps a smart proposal coming from the Liikanen committee

The economic role of manufacturing in the West (and Japan) was lost long ago


There is a lot of nonsense spoken during political seasons and the US is seeing that in spades at the moment.  One of the nonsenses is that a structural shift has occurred in the economic world of manufacturing and that is what in part caused the the global financial crisis, or at least the crisis was a symptom. This from FRED (Federal Reserve of St Louis) tells a very clear story about the fate of manufacturing in the US since 1970.  The percentage of US employment associated with manufacturing has been on a consistent trend dropping from 28% to 10% … Continue reading The economic role of manufacturing in the West (and Japan) was lost long ago

“Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?” Rajan 2005 Jackson Hole


The annual Jackson Hole Symposium is on this week.  It was here in 2005 that the Chicago economist, Raghuram Rajan presented his paper “Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?" which was derided by Larry Summers and many others for its criticism of outgoing Fed Chairman, Alan Greenspan. In the paper he speaks of the difference in incentive compensation  between investment managers and bank managers.  He also notes the dramatic shift in the industry that attempted to shift risk off balance sheet, but actually had the opposite effect by shifting assets off balance sheet but retaining the risk.  Fast forward … Continue reading “Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?” Rajan 2005 Jackson Hole

Scotiabank Reaches Agreement to Acquire ING Bank of Canada | Marketwire


Scotiabank is acquiring ING Direct in Canada, and further to my earlier post about the culture aspects, they intend to operate as a wholly owned sub. Scotiabank Reaches Agreement to Acquire ING Bank of Canada and Announces Common Share Offering – Preserves ING Bank of Canada’s (ING DIRECT) unique and successful model that offers specific value for self-directed customers as a distinct, wholly-owned subsidiary – Provides continuity for more than 1,100 employees and 1.8 million customers backed by Scotiabank, a strong, stable Canadian shareholder – ING DIRECT customers will have the same experience online, through the award-winning contact centres, and … Continue reading Scotiabank Reaches Agreement to Acquire ING Bank of Canada | Marketwire

India ISP is apparently blocking all WordPress blogs which would include Bankwatch


I am reading this post about Indian Internet service provider Tata Photon action with incredulity.  They are apparently blocking all WordPress blogs.  http://thenextweb.com/in/2012/08/25/indian-isp-blocks-wordpress/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=daily I will separately contact subscribers, but one way to ensure content from this small blog reaches you is to subscribe via email.  I hope those in charge of this ridiculous decision see the light and rescind asap. If you can add any local colour or up to date information, please add to the comments. Continue reading India ISP is apparently blocking all WordPress blogs which would include Bankwatch

Culture as the differentiator and the challenge for the ING Canada sale


The big news in Canadian Banking is the impending sale of ING Direct in Canada.  The news articles are few and far between reflecting the secrecy that surrounds such events.  Those that are out there focus on the financial value, although this at the Globe and Mail strays into more interesting territory by noting that the ING customers are there for a reason, and part of that is fees, something all the other banks like to charge. However this article at Mark’s Musings blog is refreshingly different and talks about culture and people.  My experience with ING people reflects a … Continue reading Culture as the differentiator and the challenge for the ING Canada sale

FaceBook stock decline is a business model and management issue


This is an important piece at the NYT. When the Network Effect goes into reverse | NYT James Stewart covers Facebook, as well as Yelp, Groupon, LivingSocial and Linkedin.  The title is somewhat provocative and the article notes that the network effect has not yet reversed.  But he makes two main points that are possibly related: Revenue growth is not as rapid as user growth Mobile usage is the most rapid growth, yet traditional advertising on mobile is not clear given the small screen size He also speaks about the FaceBook employee shares coming up for sale in November and … Continue reading FaceBook stock decline is a business model and management issue

Ben Milne of Dwolla understands the problem with payments


This is a short succinct Ted talk by someone who truly understands payments. (HT BankInnovation)  The concept of sending and receiving money is redundant in the context of bits and bytes.  He further makes the point that of all the things that can be sent such as photos or other files, sending money should be the easiest, fastest and most secure.  Money is just a few bytes in a database, he points out, and I want to allocate from me to you. Enjoy. http://youtu.be/XnHkHL9ICSo Continue reading Ben Milne of Dwolla understands the problem with payments

Implications of the Square/ Starbucks arrangement for Banks


Reading more about the Square/ Starbucks deal, this could be a bit of a payments game changer.  Here is why after the quote. Mobile innovators Square and Starbucks team up | finextra To bolster its commitment, Starbucks is investing $25 million in Square as part of a series d financing round widely tipped to value Dorsey’s firm at $3.25 billion. Starbucks chairman, president and CEO Howard Schultz will join Square’s board. Some reasons this is a game changer: Scale:  the fractured nature of new payments initiatives have been small, local and full of the payments industry preferences of one method … Continue reading Implications of the Square/ Starbucks arrangement for Banks