Bank survey shows dramatic increase in pessimism in the U.S.


This survey released today asked bank executives in institutions of banks, with 62% of the respondents being from small banks (those with less than $500 million in estimated assets). The picture is a disturbing turn for the worse as the realities of a new structural unemployment and the impact of government borrowing weighs heavily. Grant Thornton – Bank Survey – Sept 2010 CHICAGO, Sept. 29, 2010 – Bankers are again becoming pessimistic about the economy, according to Grant Thornton LLP’s 17th Bank Executive Survey, conducted in conjunction with Bank Director magazine. Only 15% of bank executives believe the U.S. economy … Continue reading Bank survey shows dramatic increase in pessimism in the U.S.

Black Swan events revisited – gas pipelines


This has to be one of those ‘say what?’ posts.  A couple of weeks ago we had that deadly explosion in San Bruno near San Francisco caused by a gas pipe explosion of some variety.  So now in the interests of transparency PG&E have been required to release details of any pipes that are considered potentially dangerous or requiring attention. Maps included. Well if you focus in on the #44 on the map, there is an 18’ foot segment near Menlo Park that is being ‘reviewed’. Just another consideration in crisis and black swan planning I guess  PG&E Planning Segment(s): … Continue reading Black Swan events revisited – gas pipelines

Banks’ view of innovation is sadly lacking in imagination


Its too bad this innovation panel brought out the usual bank thinking by focussing on what they thought they were doing that was innovative rather than greater focus on lessons learned. ING, HSBC and Nordea outline barriers to banking innovation | finextra Beurden goes on to say that banks need to recognise how many so-called "painful moments" they face off to their customers and reconcile these with what he describes as a "pleasure curve." (Such as a store offering a child’s play area, while parents wait in line at the register.) He adds that ING will be making a technology … Continue reading Banks’ view of innovation is sadly lacking in imagination

The real reason for Wesabe failure, part trois


Ron did up a great post here reflecting on the reason for Wesabe’s failure and the arrogance of someone at Mint as to why they ‘won’ (quotes mine). First off this from Techcrunch in Sept 2009. Very early in Mint’s life they signed a sweet deal with Yodlee to provide all that back end technology. Mint focused on the front end user experience, and did a great job with marketing. People who have knowledge of the deal say total payments from Mint to Yodlee over the last couple of years are around $2 million/year. So Yodlee made $4ish million off … Continue reading The real reason for Wesabe failure, part trois

The value of patience | Haldane BofE


This is a remarkable paper from Andrew Haldane at the Bank of England.  There are lessons and direction here for everyone and it is not as dry as one might expect.  It is the more remarkable because it addresses human behavior and relates to economic context.  Not your typical Central Bank speech.  Lessons from Asia are being learned. The most amazing for me is the HFT (high frequency trading) stat about Accenture in bold. A few quotes to whet your appetite. Take happiness. Studies have shown that happy people save more and spend less. Happy people also take longer to make … Continue reading The value of patience | Haldane BofE

The fragility of the banking system – the final 2 days in the life of Wachovia in 2008


There is a statement today … Statement of John Corston, Acting Deputy Director, Complex Financial Institution Branch, Division of Supervision and Consumer Protection, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation on Systemically Important Institutions and the Issue of "Too Big To Fail" that contains some very interesting facts, and side from he bureaucratic commentary there is a real sense of incredulity that this is how big banks are managed. The overall message is excruciating detail is one of rationalising insufficient regulatory oversight existed to permit the FDIC to adequately monitor the situation.  It describes the nature of onsite examiners at FI’s with greater … Continue reading The fragility of the banking system – the final 2 days in the life of Wachovia in 2008

The size of the Canadian mortgage market approaches $1 trillion


The state of Canadian finances is still the envy of the world, yet there continue to be areas of concern that pop up.  This statistic caught my eye.  The trillion dollar figure works out to be $100,000 on average for every bankable household in Canada.  The average is deceiving though because there are many homes with no mortgages. The other statistic there is that about 38% (although the numbers in the article do not add up) of mortgages are securitised and held by others as investments.  This could be hedge funds, pension funds and other investment funds.  Obviously any impact … Continue reading The size of the Canadian mortgage market approaches $1 trillion

“Islamic finance is a medicine for economy” | Linar Yakupov in Tatarstan


I continue to be fascinated by product design in western banks and the sheer lack of innovation despite a clear permanently different business and consumer environment.  By innovation I don’t mean higher or lowers fees and interest rates.  What about the substantive design of products?  The tile of this post is a provocative statement I located at Islamic Finance Expert that will likely meet mostly deaf ears in the US however when we dig beneath the surface , there is merit to the statement when we appreciate it speaks to the methodologies and product design employed by banks to fund … Continue reading “Islamic finance is a medicine for economy” | Linar Yakupov in Tatarstan

Mortgage regulation in US has worked judging by dramatic impact on brokers


Here is one set of regulation that seems to have worked. The article recounts one broker who is down from 85 on staff to 3. What is intriguing is that the bankrate article seems to suggest this is a bad thing. The reasons provided in the quote below just sound like back to basics banking process that provides lenders and customers protection. In fact it suggests brokers can only operate in a loose credit/ no diligence environment. I do not believe that and surely there is a model for brokers that involves lending discipline. http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/2010-08-28-mortgage-brokers_N.htm Credit histories must be dutifully … Continue reading Mortgage regulation in US has worked judging by dramatic impact on brokers