Five crucibles of change will restructure the world economy for the foreseeable future | McKinsey


This is a terrific piece from McKinsey that summarises many of the things we read about in the context of changes at play in the world.  I firmly believe we are in the midst of a latter day industrial revolution but it needs a better definition than that, and this kind of piece breaks it down into understandable chunks that capture various aspects of things we are reading about. We all speak of globalisation and these five forces nicely capture the implications and results.  For example something I have been reading a lot about is the concept of ‘market state’ … Continue reading Five crucibles of change will restructure the world economy for the foreseeable future | McKinsey

Connections of Anna Chapman on Linkedin


I saw this and had to check myself.  Turns out 5 of my Linkedin connections are connected to connections of Anna Chapman.  She is one of the 10 Russian Spies charged in US this week.  One is Robert Scoble, but then Robert is probably connected to everyone.  It also shows the inherent weakness in the ‘connected to connections’ model.  Connections even once removed capture a lot of people. Check it out.  Her profile is in the link below and she only has 147 connections so they were picked with some thought presumably and given her mandate to seek intelligence and … Continue reading Connections of Anna Chapman on Linkedin

Goodbye Wesabe – now we will never know what could be developed


In what is the largest shock for me for a long time, Wesabe has shut down. I have long sung the praises of Wesabe and saw great potential for future expansion and delivery of innovative and useful services for people that no-one bank can ever offer. It appears they have run out of funding which I presume is because VC’s are not willing to support a competitor to Mint/ Intuit. This is shortsighted in my view but there we have the harsh reality of business. Online Finance Startup Wesabe Heads To The Deadpool | Techcrunch The startup’s homepage now consists … Continue reading Goodbye Wesabe – now we will never know what could be developed

The effect of psychology on investing behaviour


This is a fascinating summary and review of various factors that drive investment behaviour, and surprisingly few of which have anything to do with rational investment return.  Homo economicus – or more like Homer Simpson? Deutsche Bank Research Many of the issues listed here may seem obvious. But in an environment like economics and finance, precisely because it is perceived as being so highly rational, the influence of psychological factors and sentiment is frequently underestimated. Of course, heeding these points – arguably not always such an easy matter in practice – will not automatically guarantee the success of an investment. … Continue reading The effect of psychology on investing behaviour

Few banks are going to market to raise capital


This is a bit of a surprise with all directions pointing to increased capital requirements. 33% of banks have gone to the market to raise capital or will go to market to raise capital | Grant Thornton CHICAGO, June 24, 2010 – According to Grant Thornton LLP’s 17th Bank Executive Survey, conducted in conjunction with Bank Director magazine, one-third (33%) of bankers said that their bank was very likely to go the market to raise capital in the next 12 months (22%) or has already successfully gone to the market to raise capital (11%). Technorati Tags: banks,capital,regulation,grant thornton Continue reading Few banks are going to market to raise capital

Chrystia Freeland interviews Larry Summers


For economic wonks here is a lengthy and broad interview this morning with Larry Summers. He paints a positive picture that America has turned the corner, is producing jobs, and progressing well.  On the question of stimulus versus consolidation, he makes the point that a country with growth has a greater chance of being in control of its own destiny.  He notes that non growth countries find it very hard to maintain a positive financial picture (alluding to Japan). He talks specifically about the origins of G20 and how he and Paul Martin were the originals in setting that up. … Continue reading Chrystia Freeland interviews Larry Summers

Why the economy and the G20 matters for banks


Gillian Tett at FT highlights the seismic shift that has taken place in the securitization market.  This may appear obscure but it directly impacts product design and bank product design. Collapsed debt market poses dilemma for G20 | Financial Times So far, few non-bankers have really noticed this collapse, largely because governments have stepped into the breach, papering over the gaping hole. In the US, for example, the Federal Reserve has bought $1,250bn of mortgage-backed securities. In Europe, the Bank of England and ECB have gobbled up mortgage-backed bonds, and other securitised assets, via repo deals. Before 2007, eurozone banks … Continue reading Why the economy and the G20 matters for banks

Dr. Inge Kaul on effective global resource allocation


To wind up, a smart and interesting speaker on a panel moderated by Chrystia Freeland.  Dr. Inge Kaul Member, Committee of Experts, Leading Group on Innovative Financing for Development; Professor, Hertie School of Governance, Berlin, Germany Notes on her talk. State failures have made it very easy for markets to fail.  She speaks about public goods and how everyone wants everything, but no-one wants to pay.  Free-riding, and this applies to countries as well.  This helps us to understand why G20 talks but accomplishes little. Leaders should set agenda – we need a Gxx for each global challenge, eg climate … Continue reading Dr. Inge Kaul on effective global resource allocation