G20 and the UN


Live from “Making the Case for Global Economic Governance”, a Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung and Munk School of Global Affairs sponsored pre G20 conference here in Toronto. Speaking now is Jomo Kwame Sundaram, Assistant Secretary-General for Economic Development, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, and facilitated by Chrystia Freeland, Global Editor at Large, Thompson Reuters.  His role is the link on economic affairs between the G20 and the UN.  [Note Paul Martin remains in the audience listening.] Broadly he is making the case that the thing to be feared is deflation, and that the amount of stimulus that has occurred is … Continue reading G20 and the UN

Global Governance – Canadian perspective – Paul Martin


I am live blogging from the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung/ Munk Centre/ University of Toronto conference on Global Economic Governance.  The keynote speaker is Paul Martin (PM) who is up next.  Introductions first from Werner Puschra, Director, Friedrich Ebert Foundation, New York Office and John Kirton, Professor, International Relations Programme, G20 Research Group, Munk School of Global Affairs, University of Toronto.  Basically Martin a former PM of Canada is being introduced as the ‘father’ of G20. Notes on Martin begin here: Global governance requires a global steering committee covering these issues. breadth of issues priority results ability to reach out to … Continue reading Global Governance – Canadian perspective – Paul Martin

Commercial Real Estate vacancies rise significantly in US


As predicted by several folks 2 years ago the next shoe to fall, Commercial Real Estate is underway in the US.  Expect to see boarded up vacancies in malls again as we did 20 years ago. Commercial Real Estate Time Bomb Slowly Exploding | Kimberly’s US Economy Blog The mortgage delinquency rate for commercial real estate (apartments, retail, office and manufacturing) continues to worsen. According to Real Capital Analytics,  4.17% of loans defaulted in the first quarter of 2010. This is $45.5 billion in bank-held loans. It is higher than both the 3.83% rate in the fourth quarter of 2009 … Continue reading Commercial Real Estate vacancies rise significantly in US

TD loses it


Thanks to the Financial Brand and Ron for this.  They had a good thing going with the green chair and the old guys.  Now this out of the blue green.  Words fail me.  Maybe Ron made this up? A press conference staged for the introduction of “TD,” the bank’s new mascot. If there were indeed that many reporters at the event with their hands raised anxiously, the number one question was likely to be, “What the heck is it?” Technorati Tags: TD Continue reading TD loses it

Internet Kill Switch | Lieberman


In a legislative proposal that reeks of book burning Joe Lieberman like the little Dutch boy, pokes his finger in the dyke.  Sad. US Government proposes “Internet Kill Switch” | The Escapist Lieberman explains that the Internet can be a dangerous place that accesses personal bank accounts, government infrastructure and industrial secrets. “Our economic security, national security and public safety are now all at risk from new kinds of enemies – cyber-warriors, cyber-spies, cyber-terrorists and cyber-criminals.” Here is US cyberbill 2010. Continue reading Internet Kill Switch | Lieberman

Additional evidence that the economic crisis was a symptom of global labour shifts


Last year I posted this piece reporting a new paper from two academics and picked up by Econobrowser proposing that the larger cause of the economic and banking crisis was the shift in global labour supply.  Translation;  outsourced supply chain to Asia, whether services or manufacturing at such low labour rates and high avaialbility created artificially high demand because everything became so cheap to the west that it threw the economy out of kilter by creating artificially easy supply. I will continue to leave that result to the economists to debate.  Meantime post crisis we have a situation where China … Continue reading Additional evidence that the economic crisis was a symptom of global labour shifts

One-quarter Bank Execs expect to increase hiring in the next six months | Grant Thornton


Grant Thornton LLP’s have released their 17th Bank Executive Survey  and it shows a significant increase in the numbers of Bank Execs expecting the US economy to improve, although I do notice that it is not an overwhelming shift as yet. One-quarter expect to increase hiring in the next six months CHICAGO, June 18, 2010 – According to Grant Thornton LLP’s 17th Bank Executive Survey, conducted in conjunction with Bank Director magazine, the majority of bankers are optimistic about the U.S. economy in the coming months, with 45 percent expecting it to improve in the next six months. This is … Continue reading One-quarter Bank Execs expect to increase hiring in the next six months | Grant Thornton

Latest World Bank Quarterly update on China suggests the machine will continue


The statistics in this review are quite staggering when we consider in the context of the problems we see in western economies.  The growth and accumulation of reserves are the antithesis of what we see. China_Quarterly_June10 Key takeaways I got were: real estate increases are significant and in bubble territory, but little concern for inflation, however (my observation) the degree of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) is significant and could herald unintended consequential problems Continue reading Latest World Bank Quarterly update on China suggests the machine will continue