Tag: banks

Uncategorized2 Comments

Bank retail operations have not recovered despite profits

Colin Henderson

In this piece at the NY Times, Krugman points out the obvious that despite profits, Banks’ retail operations have not recovered. The large profits we are hearing about are all centred in the Investment Banking units. I would add that it will take more than a turnaround in consumer confidence and reduction in unemployment. It will also take time to work through the de-leveraging impacts of consumer desire to reduce debts and save more for future crises while this one is firmly in peoples minds. For everyone who is still working they know of someone who is not, and that … Continue reading Bank retail operations have not recovered despite profits

Uncategorized

The Economist Special Report on the World Economy coins the term ‘Gandhian Banking’

Colin Henderson

Under the heading ‘Gandhian Banking’ The Economist reveals the extent of worldwide government injection into banks at $432 billion by this spring and guaranteed bank debts at $4.65 trillion. Of perhaps even greater significance is the implicit guarantee that now exists for all banks. By this summer 33 American banks had repaid the capital the government had injected into them. The new era of state ownership seemed to be passing almost as quickly as it had arrived. But the state still has a large stake in the financial system beyond its explicit ownership of shares. It now owns the risk … Continue reading The Economist Special Report on the World Economy coins the term ‘Gandhian Banking’

Uncategorized1 Comment

Too Big to Fail and How Little the Concept is Misunderstood

Colin Henderson

Sheila Blair Chair of the American FDIC (retail deposit guarantees) speaks clearly yet with words that are hardly reflective of US policy. The first task is to scrap the “too big to fail” doctrine. To do this, we need to fix weaknesses in our regulatory system, and achieve global reform for effective resolution processes when large firms fail. With these steps, we can foster real market discipline and make international cooperation more successful. Co-incidentally I watched the BBC World Debate earlier with an interesting group of contrasts (no video online yet) BBC World Debate – Global Financial Crisis: Can we … Continue reading Too Big to Fail and How Little the Concept is Misunderstood

Business Models, Innovation2 Comments

A Sure Sign that we are at a Turning Point in Mobility and Use of Internet

Colin Henderson

I noticed an ad on CNN this afternoon, that really shows the gap that lies between old business and new business. The topic here is personal use of technology – how individual managers and executives use it. This reflects personal,and therefore institutional effectiveness. It reflects the difference in things happening over days, versus over months. The ad was for GotoMyPC that “allows you to access your PC from anywhere in the word”. Its a funny ad that begins with a travelling executive who realises the information he needs is on his PC back at the home office, so he sends … Continue reading A Sure Sign that we are at a Turning Point in Mobility and Use of Internet

Uncategorized

Concern over banks and ‘dark pools’ reaches G20

Colin Henderson

A new concern has arisen over the growth of ‘dark pools’ or private unregulated trading exchanges, where banks and large investors are trading derivatives off balance sheet. IT is significant enough to have come to the attention of this weeks G20. Exchanges issue warning on spread of ‘dark pools’ | ft.com The world’s stock and derivatives exchanges on Tuesday warned the Group of 20 leaders that the continued “proper functioning” of their markets could not be taken for granted because of a proliferation of alternative trading venues such as “dark pools”. This is relevant because the near $ 1 trillion … Continue reading Concern over banks and ‘dark pools’ reaches G20

Economy

Trends that lead to lower growth, lower profits and lower volatility for banks than during the past few decades | Deutsche Bank

Colin Henderson

This paragraph from the report below, succinctly summarises the growth prospects for Banks, and the backdrop to planning. Again, a plan that looks like the plan for 2007 is destined to fail. This is the time for breakout product design, and a dramatic cost reduction through shift to reliance on internet and online banking for a far greater breadth of service delivery. Global banking trends after the crisis | Deutsche Bank Research Lean years lie ahead for US banks. Performance improvements during the last 15 years have often been due to strong lending growth and low credit losses. As private … Continue reading Trends that lead to lower growth, lower profits and lower volatility for banks than during the past few decades | Deutsche Bank

Uncategorized3 Comments

World Safest Banks are European, Canadian and Australian

Colin Henderson

The worlds safest banks are European, Canadian and Australian. WORLD’S 50 SAFEST BANKS 2009 | Global Finance Magazine New York, August 25, 2009 — With bank stability still high on corporate and investor agendas,Global Finance publishes its 18th annual list of the world’s safest banks. After two tumultuous years that saw many of the world’s most respected banks drop out of the top-50 safest banks list, the dust appears to be settling. Those banks that kept an iron grip on their risk exposure before the financial crisis blew up have consistently topped the table and maintain their standing among the … Continue reading World Safest Banks are European, Canadian and Australian

Economy

Canadian Banks have a Productivity Gap relative to the US

Colin Henderson

Following up on the previous post covering the Bank of Canada’s view that Canadian Banks do not have a productivity gap [pdf 19 pages] relative to US Banks, here is the basis for that contention within a 2006 report. The conclusion copied here in whole is in my view, woefully misleading and contradictory. It reads to me like someone with political motivations has turned facts into something that meets policy objectives. Analysis to follow. This work examines the efficiency and productivity of Canadian and U.S. banks in three ways. First, we compare key performance ratios and find that (i) the … Continue reading Canadian Banks have a Productivity Gap relative to the US

Uncategorized

The lesssons of the credit crisis are not being taken seriously by markets

Colin Henderson

I have been following the matter of bank leverage, and the improvements that are required to deal with current bad debts and more importantly future bad debts that will arise from credit card and mortgage defaults. Sadly no lessons have been learnet judging by the reaction from the investment analyst community to the small improvement in capital ratio at Goldman Sachs. Banks still need bigger cushions | Reuters – Rolfe Winkler It was a surreal moment two weeks ago when analysts on Goldman Sachs’ earnings conference call pressed CFO David Viniar to jack up leverage. They seem to think that … Continue reading The lesssons of the credit crisis are not being taken seriously by markets

Economy

Future for many banks remains grim | Roubini

Colin Henderson

This interview with Roubini, on a visit to China, is wide ranging, and provides a good assessment of where we are in the economic cycle, why we got here, and importantly what to expect next.  In particular this assessment on US banks is sobering.  That aside, it is a worthwhile read. Dr. Doom Has Some Good News The first involved banks. Like Paul Krugman and others, Roubini had been warning that many banks were weaker than they seemed. Rather than trying to nurse them along, he said, the government should move straightaway to nationalization: “I’m concerned that we’re not going … Continue reading Future for many banks remains grim | Roubini