The Good, the Bad and the Ugly | which is your bank?


In this video commentary on the US Banks results they note that while large profits are announced, any parts of the business related to the US consumer consumer is flat. This includes all retail banking and credit cards. The only bright spots are the fee based revenue from the investment banking units, hence JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs results, although poor old Citi did not even make it there. One quarter does not make or break anything in banking in and of itself. However the predictions of Roubini and Baker linked below are playing out as expected, so which banks … Continue reading The Good, the Bad and the Ugly | which is your bank?

Bank of America Needs $33.9 Billion | NYT


As predicted yesterday, the amount of capital the banks need is far in excess of the amounts they were negotiating. This news just in from the NYT confirms what had to be the case.  If we do the math based on project bad debts, it had to be in the $20bn + range for the big banks.  Similar results will apply to Wells, Citi,  PNC and others in the group of 19.  Watch out for the stock market tomorrow.  Reality bites. Bank of America Needs $33.9 Billion, U.S. Determines The government has determined that Bank of America will need $33.9 … Continue reading Bank of America Needs $33.9 Billion | NYT

Where are the bank visionaries when we need them?


As we watch for bank stress test results in the US and other countries efforts to deal with Banks’ asset valuation and capital levels, its useful to keep a track on the economic back drop, and assess the bank’s efforts to address their real problem, which is over-valued assets. The US stress tests specifically address the impact on banks under certain sets of future assumptions for economic growth and stability. Spring forecasts 2009-2010 | European commission The Commission forecasts a sharp contraction of the EU economy by 4% in 2009 (relative to a positive growth of 0.8% in 2008). Almost … Continue reading Where are the bank visionaries when we need them?

The irony of Citi’s request of a Democratic government


There is a high degree of irony in this story.  We have a bastion of capitalism, Citi requesting a 40% government ownership, accompanied by a Democratic US government stating its belief in private ownership. The impossible inevitability will meet the inevitable impossibility  …  eventually. Citi presses officials to take 40% stake | ft.com Citigroup is pressing the US government to agree on a new capital injection that would increase the authorities’ stake in the troubled bank to about 40 per cent but stop short of an outright nationalisation … They (US Government) apparently believe that the market response to White … Continue reading The irony of Citi’s request of a Democratic government

How can a bank with over 2 trillion in assets fail?


The headlines surrounding Citi are reminiscent of a wolf pack circling its prey. But how can a bank such as them fail? And how can it go from making a billion dollar offer to purchase Wachovia to failure? Citigroup stock drops to 13-year low, fear grow | Reuters NEW YORK (Reuters) – Citigroup Inc faced a crisis of confidence on Wednesday as investors questioned the survival prospects of the U.S. banking giant, and its shares tumbled 23 percent to a 13-year low. The second-largest U.S. bank by assets has been reeling on concerns that mounting losses from credit cards, mortgages … Continue reading How can a bank with over 2 trillion in assets fail?