Category: Business Models

Business Models, Canada, Economy, EU, Geopolitics, Military, NATO

EU Air and Space Shield

Colin Henderson

Some background to something I am watching and which will structurally change risk assessment and global finance. https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/9db42c04-15c2-42e1-8364-60afb0073e68_en?filename=Joint-Communication%20_Defence-Readiness-Roadmap-2030.pdf https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/b97e2ffb-4008-463d-bae7-e0ef519847af_en?filename=15102025_Readiness2030_FactsheetSPP_0.pdf The CWP 2026 foresees a European Space Shield Action Plan for Q2 2026. According to the European Defence Readiness Roadmap 2030, the European Space Shield is intended to reinforce the defence capabilities of the Member States and to secure the resilience and protection of space assets and services in response to an increasingly hostile threat environment. It forms part of the broader effort to achieve defence readiness by 2030 through the integration of national and commercial space assets with support from existing … Continue reading EU Air and Space Shield

Business Models, China, Economics, EU, Geopolitics, US

Iran Offers Europe a Hormuz Lifeline — and the Price Could Be the Dollar

Colin Henderson

“Iran Offers Europe a Hormuz Lifeline — and the Price Could Be the Dollar” — IBTimes UK, April 4, 2026 https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/iran-strait-hormuz-transit-negotiations-1790190 Worth reading because it connects the immediate Hormuz transit negotiation to the structural BRICS-dollar question: non-dollar energy settlement mechanisms, the US national debt crossing $39 trillion mid-war, and the emerging pattern of European nations negotiating separately with Iran. One of the cleaner structural pieces published this week amid a lot of operational noise. ———————————————- Iran’s proposal to negotiate transit access through the Strait of Hormuz could reshape global energy dynamics and challenge the petrodollar system. Bernadette B. TixonPublished 04 April … Continue reading Iran Offers Europe a Hormuz Lifeline — and the Price Could Be the Dollar

Agents, AGI, AI_factories, AI_research, banking, Business Models, Development, Frontier_AI

Exploration of thesis: “Saas shift to Gaas”. What are impacts on Core Banking software vendors and regulatory regimes

Colin Henderson

(Gaas – Agentic AI as a service – source NVDA) Here is some real time research that emanates from today’s Morning Briefing. The core of this disussion is the shif to Agentic AI and provision of core services which goes to the heart of commoditisation for tranditional vendors. The scope of this discussion here is on core banking software vendors and banking regulatory regimes OSFI. Explanation 1. Prompt: my comments and questions 2. Output: results from Claude.ai This is raw realtime thinking. The space is moving fast driven by frontier development with Anthropic Claude Mythos exemplifying the direction of Gaas … Continue reading Exploration of thesis: “Saas shift to Gaas”. What are impacts on Core Banking software vendors and regulatory regimes

AI, AI_factories, Business Models

Nvidia backs AI cloud startup Nebius with $2B as data center race intensifies

Colin Henderson

Nvidia is investing $2 billion in Amsterdam-based Nebius, taking an 8.3% stake and deepening its push into the fast-growing “neocloud” layer of the AI stack. Nebius said it plans to deploy more than 5 gigawatts of data center capacity by 2030, a huge build-out that shows demand for AI compute is no longer driven solely by hyperscalers like Microsoft, Google, and Meta. The deal also underscores Nvidia’s increasingly unusual position in the market: it is not just selling chips, but financing parts of the ecosystem that buy and deploy them. Why that matters goes beyond one funding deal. AI infrastructure … Continue reading Nvidia backs AI cloud startup Nebius with $2B as data center race intensifies

AI, banking, Business Models, productivity

OpenAI Hires Ex-Goldman Staff to Help Cut Down Junior Bankers’ Grunt Work

Colin Henderson

In this Article By Omar El Chmouri October 21, 2025 at 6:06 AM EDT Takeaways by Bloomberg AI OpenAI has more than 100 ex-investment bankers helping train its artificial intelligence on how to build financial models as it looks to replace the hours of grunt work performed by junior bankers across the industry. The group, which includes former employees of JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., is part of a secretive project inside the startup that’s code named Mercury, according to documents seen by Bloomberg. Participants are paid $150 per hour to write prompts and build financial models for a range … Continue reading OpenAI Hires Ex-Goldman Staff to Help Cut Down Junior Bankers’ Grunt Work

AI, Business Models, productivity

Comprehensive Report on the Evolution of LLM and Potential Predictions for Future

Colin Henderson

I have a new report, and first draft is available. Comprehensive Report on the Evolution of LLM and Potential Predictions for Future Executive Summary This report examines the evolution of Large Language Models (LLMs) from their origins in statistical language modeling through the transformative Transformer breakthrough to current state-of-the-art systems, with projections for development through 2030. The research synthesizes findings from academic literature, industry whitepapers, and regulatory frameworks to provide insights into technical innovations, regional approaches, organizational strategies, and future trajectories. Key findings indicate that LLMs have progressed from basic pre-training architectures to sophisticated systems incorporating reinforcement learning, synthetic data … Continue reading Comprehensive Report on the Evolution of LLM and Potential Predictions for Future

AI, Business Models

Jony Ive details OpenAI’s hardware vision

Colin Henderson

Courtesy of The Rundown AI The Rundown: Ex-Apple design chief Jony Ive provided a broader glimpse into his hardware partnership with OpenAI during an exclusive session with Sam Altman at Dev Day, outlining plans for AI devices that heal humans’ fractured relationship with tech. The details: Why it matters: While Ive and Altman are staying tight-lipped for now, the callout of current tech’s psychological impact and a focus on emotional well-being could mark a major shift from the addictive patterns of current devices. However, with Altman’s reiterated need for patience, it doesn’t sound like the launch is around the corner. Continue reading Jony Ive details OpenAI’s hardware vision

banking, Business Models

Why It Is So Hard to Sell Core Banking Systems

Colin Henderson

A well written piece that encasulates the difficulties Banks’ organisation naturally resist change. At the heart of the challenge are the people running the banks. Broadly speaking, there are two types. The first are stewards—or what I call “babysitters.” These bankers are conservative, risk-averse, and focused on not rocking the boat. They’re not sabotaging the bank’s future, but they aren’t championing innovation either. Their mindset is survival, not transformation. The second type are mavericks—rare individuals who look beyond their own tenure. They want to future-proof the bank, save customers money, and avoid being the “Kodak” or “Blockbuster” of finance. They … Continue reading Why It Is So Hard to Sell Core Banking Systems

banking, Business Models

Victor Leung on banks development of breakthrough products

Colin Henderson

A useful and common sense modern approach. The lead in shown is exactly how most banks approach product development. ———————————— Read on blog or ReaderVictor Leung How to Develop Breakthrough Core Banking Products and Services By Victor Leung on September 14, 2025 Banks must develop major innovations to prosper, but they don’t know how to. Many still try to build them with an old producer model. In that model, vendors publish roadmaps, banks write long requirement documents, and system integrators deliver projects after months of work. Academic research and field practice point to a different path. Important innovation often come from users. These users share and … Continue reading Victor Leung on banks development of breakthrough products

AI, Business Models, Innovation, productivity

Blackrock Investment themes 2025

Colin Henderson

In listening to Blackrock Jay Jacobs Head of ETF he mentioned the investment themes Blackrock has identified in the context of re-industrialisation of the economy. See below for detail, but the core three are: Mega Force Description & Investment Implications Demographic Divergence Aging populations in developed economies are expected to constrain growth and productivity, while emerging markets with younger populations and expanding middle classes may benefit from higher growth potential[3][5]. Digital Disruption & AI The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence and digital technologies is transforming productivity, business models, and entire industries. BlackRock sees AI as a foundational driver of future … Continue reading Blackrock Investment themes 2025