Category: Canada

Canada, regulationLeave a comment

OSFI Annual Risk Outlook 2027

Colin Henderson

OSFI Introduction Current risk environment Global markets continue to experience episodes of volatility as investors shift between exuberance and sharp selloffs often triggered by geopolitical events. The Canadian economy continues to contend with the negative impacts of the current geopolitical and trade environments. To date, subdued growth and a softer labour market, particularly in regions most impacted by the changing trade dynamics, have characterized our risk environment. While considerable progress is underway to address these challenges, near-term economic threats remain. Geopolitics can act as a driver of risk and can trigger scenarios that have negative outcomes. In this uncertain environment, … Continue reading OSFI Annual Risk Outlook 2027

AI, Business Models, Canada, EU, Geopolitics, NATO, unbanked, USLeave a comment

Morning Briefing — Tuesday, April 14, 2026 · 07:51 EST · 1,285 words

Colin Henderson

Today’s environment is dominated by a single cascading event: the US naval blockade of Iranian ports that took effect at 10:00 AM EDT Monday, immediately after the collapse of the Islamabad ceasefire talks. The blockade has set off simultaneous shocks across energy markets, NATO unity, and Gulf security. A partial relief signal arrived this morning — Trump says Iran has “called” and wants a deal — creating a whipsaw between escalation and diplomatic revival that will define the day’s market and political moves. Hungary’s watershed election result, landing Sunday, adds a structurally significant European political shift to the mix. 1. … Continue reading Morning Briefing — Tuesday, April 14, 2026 · 07:51 EST · 1,285 words

Business Models, Canada, Economy, EU, Geopolitics, Military, NATOLeave a comment

EU Air and Space Shield

Colin Henderson

Some background to something I am watching and which will structurally change risk assessment and global finance. https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/9db42c04-15c2-42e1-8364-60afb0073e68_en?filename=Joint-Communication%20_Defence-Readiness-Roadmap-2030.pdf https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/b97e2ffb-4008-463d-bae7-e0ef519847af_en?filename=15102025_Readiness2030_FactsheetSPP_0.pdf The CWP 2026 foresees a European Space Shield Action Plan for Q2 2026. According to the European Defence Readiness Roadmap 2030, the European Space Shield is intended to reinforce the defence capabilities of the Member States and to secure the resilience and protection of space assets and services in response to an increasingly hostile threat environment. It forms part of the broader effort to achieve defence readiness by 2030 through the integration of national and commercial space assets with support from existing … Continue reading EU Air and Space Shield

Canada, Geopolitics, intel

Morning Briefing — Thursday, 12 March 2026

Colin Henderson

“What Changed” items, three new/emerging flags, five secondary items, and one long-form pick.A few things worth flagging from this morning:The Russia tactical integration item is the sharpest new development — moving from general targeting assistance to specific drone doctrine is qualitatively different and will require a Western coalition response of some kind. Watch for NATO statements later today.The France nuclear doctrine signal is the carry-forward item with the longest arc — if Macron moves from signalling to any kind of formalised burden-sharing arrangement, it restructures European security architecture in ways that will take years to fully register.On Canada-US trade — … Continue reading Morning Briefing — Thursday, 12 March 2026

banking, Canada, Diplomacy, Innovation, Military, NATO

Canada in the running to headquarter new multinational defence bank

Colin Henderson

Canada in the running to headquarter new multinational defence bank PIPPA NORMANPublished November 13 2025, 4:15AM Banks like this don’t come around too often. Most recently, the New Development Bank and Asian Infrastructure Bank were established in 2015 and 2016, respectively. Similar institutions such as the World Bank Group are set up to mobilize capital to address issues affecting multiple countries. In the case of the DSRB, that issue is an increasingly divided world in which countries all over the world are increasing their defence spending.A handful of institutions, including Royal Bank of Canada, JPMorgan Chase & Co., ING Group … Continue reading Canada in the running to headquarter new multinational defence bank

banking, Canada

Plumery expands digital banking experience platform into Canada

Colin Henderson

With the changes occurring for Canadian Credit Unions using Central1 here is a press release from a new to Canada player from Amsterdam in the core and digital banking space – Plumery. _________________________________________ Press Release: Plumery expands digital banking experience platform into CanadaPlumery’s expansion, collaborating with Vancouver-based Aequilibrium, brings specific Canadian market capabilities to support credit unions delivery of personalized, compliant, and elevated member experiences. October 2nd 2025, Amsterdam. Plumery, the digital banking experience platform, today unveiled Canada-specific features and integrations giving Canadian credit unions a clear path to deliver personalized, compliant, and modern digital banking experiences. Canadian financial institutions … Continue reading Plumery expands digital banking experience platform into Canada

AI, Canada

The Canada AI Strategy Task Force was officially launched in September 2025

Colin Henderson

The Canada AI Strategy Task Force was officially launched in September 2025 by Minister Evan Solomon, marking a renewed effort to update and advance the country’s National AI Strategy. This initiative comes at a critical juncture as technological transformation and geopolitical forces reshape national priorities. Government of Canada launches AI Strategy Task Force and public engagement on the development of the next AI strategy From: Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada Key facts about the AI Strategy Task Force Source perplexity.ai In summary: The Task Force represents Canada’s commitment to leading in responsible and ambitious AI deployment, with emphasis on broad … Continue reading The Canada AI Strategy Task Force was officially launched in September 2025

Canada, Risk, US1 Comment

Financial Accountability Officer is an Officer of the Legistlative Assembly of Ontario

Colin Henderson

The Potential Impacts of US Tariffs on the Ontario Economy SummaryThis report examines Ontario’s trade relationship with the United States and estimates the potential impacts of US tariffs on Ontario’s exports, imports, GDP, employment and inflation.The United States is Ontario’s most important trading partnerThe US accounts for most of Ontario’s international trade, with 77 per cent of Ontario’s total goods exports and 60 per cent of the province’s total services exports. Imports of goods from the US accounted for 68 per cent of Ontario’s total goods imports, while services imports from the US were 63 per cent of total services … Continue reading Financial Accountability Officer is an Officer of the Legistlative Assembly of Ontario

Canada, Economy, Risk, Roam

Benjamin Tal economist CIBC – Canada -US trade future

Colin Henderson

Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC World Markets 10/04/25 Despite all the calls to diversify Canada’s trade, the country will end up more dependent on the United States once tariff negotiations have concluded, according to a well-known economist. “We are in the midst of a global trade war, and in a global trade war, like in the Cold War, you have to choose sides,” Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC World Markets, said. On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump turned his global trade war into a faceoff with China after he announced a 90-day reprieve on higher reciprocal tariffs levied against other countries, but raised … Continue reading Benjamin Tal economist CIBC – Canada -US trade future

Canada, EU, UK

Europe update – Bloomberg

Colin Henderson

#geopolitics #risk President Donald Trump issued a direct threat to Iran, saying he’d hold the regime responsible for future attacks on shipping in the Suez Canal and southern Red Sea by Houthi rebels. His threat of retaliation against Tehran ratchets up the stakes even more after he authorized military strikes over the weekend on the group. The Houthi health ministry said 53 people were killed. Successive US administrations have accused Iran of supplying training, expertise and weapons to the Houthis, but taking on Iran directly would carry a fresh set of risks. Trump’s director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, said that other countries should … Continue reading Europe update – Bloomberg