IN THE BASKET: CROATIA & SOUTH KOREA With Europe growing wary of Trump, South Korean defence sales are skyrocketing In the basket: 18 Hanwha K239 Chunmoo multiple-rocket launchersWho’s buying: CroatiaWho’s selling: South KoreaPrice: €544.1mDelivery date: 2026 to 2029 Big hit: South Korea makes another arms deal with Europe Croatia’s rocket-launcher capabilities are unquestionably due for an overhaul. The country’s army is still largely making do with the M-92 Vulkan and BM-21 Grad, which are both so ancient that they were designed and built by nations – Yugoslavia and the Soviet Union, respectively – that disintegrated several decades ago. Its choice of replacement – 18 K239 Chunmoo multiple-rocket launchers from … Continue reading

SAS chief: Army witch hunts put Britain at risk


Special forces recruitment is suffering as result of endless legal actions against soldiers, warns former brigadier Tom CotterillDefence EditorShow biography Published 31 August 2026 9:08pm BST Witch hunts against British special forces put the country at risk from Russia, the head of the association that represents SAS soldiers has warned. Brig Ed Butler, a retired former commanding officer of 22 SAS, said that recruitment into the elite unit was suffering as a result of repeated legal action against its members – weakening its ability to keep the country safe. Mr Butler, the new president of the SAS Regimental Association (Sasra), accused the Government of … Continue reading SAS chief: Army witch hunts put Britain at risk

Like the movies’: How Ukraine’s ground robots are changing rules of war


 Summary ​ They carry ammunition, can conduct kamikaze missions and have shown they can capture enemy positions. Mansur Mirovalev Ternopil, Ukraine – A ground robot carrying ammunition and resembling a real-life cousin of Wall-E, the 2008 Pixar cartoon’s rusty protagonist, got stuck late one night in a trench in northeastern Ukraine. Named Murakha (ant in Ukrainian), the robot was a bit more than a metre high, but had a large clearance to trudge across rugged terrain, bombed-out streets, mud, sleet or snow on tank-like tracks at up to 12km (7.5 miles) per hour. Its pilots were hidden in a bunker tens … Continue reading Like the movies’: How Ukraine’s ground robots are changing rules of war

US officials push back on reports of dangerously low munitions supplies


 Summarize ​ Experts warn that low stockpiles of air defence interceptors as a result of the war on Iran leave the US vulnerable. Joseph Stepansky The White House and Pentagon have pushed back on a slate of recent reports indicating that supplies of both offensive and defensive weapons have dropped dangerously low after five months of war on Iran. Experts have said that low supplies of air defence interceptors, particularly those used in Patriot and Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) air defence systems, may pose a particular threat to US forces, with knock-on effects for allies in the region and beyond. … Continue reading US officials push back on reports of dangerously low munitions supplies

Ukraine war live: Russia launches one of the biggest drone and missile attacks on Kyiv in months


LIVE Last updated 3 mins ago Ukraine war live: Russia launches one of the biggest drone and missile attacks on Kyiv in months By Kylie MacLellan,  Farouq Suleiman and Estelle Shirbon What’s happening? If you can’t see the content of video posts, please adjust your cookie settings Just joining us? Here’s what you need to know 27 minutes ago 07:05 EDT Russia pounded cities across Ukraine with hundreds of drones and dozens of missiles early on Tuesday. Authorities said the attacks killed 18 people and wounded more than 100. The wave of strikes followed Russian warnings of “systematic” strikes on the capital after a deadly drone attack ‌on a dormitory … Continue reading Ukraine war live: Russia launches one of the biggest drone and missile attacks on Kyiv in months

Likelihood of world war is now a risk – ref “The Coming Storm“ Westad and parallels to 1912


Currently state analysis in context of potential for regional or World War. Examples: Note introduction of Bolivia as a direct and unpredicted new thread, along side Russia /China relations actively managed by China which could lead Putin to move asynchronously. ANALYSIS Prompt We appear to be in a high risk of a regional or even world war. Breakdowns in diplomacy now exist : Russia / china, us/ Israel, us/china, Iran/ Saudi, UAE,, quatar. Yemen remains a wild card. Output The risk architecture is real but worth disaggregating — not all breakdowns are equal, and some of the apparent fractures are … Continue reading Likelihood of world war is now a risk – ref “The Coming Storm“ Westad and parallels to 1912


EU Article 42.7 mutual defence blueprint ordered Following the Iran war drone strike on a British airbase in Cyprus, EU leaders at a summit agreed the European Commission will prepare an operational blueprint for Article 42.7 — the EU’s mutual defence clause. Macron called it “not just words.” Cyprus, an EU but not NATO member, is particularly exposed and has been the most vocal advocate. Europe’s little-known mutual defence clause: Is it a NATO substitute? Several European leaders have called for a discussion on using the bloc’s own mutual assistance clause amid US tensions By Caolán Magee Published On 30 Apr … Continue reading

Europe Defense Strategy 2026: EU Moves Toward Independent Security


EU military independence 2026 EU military independence 2026 This article breaks down what the EU’s rearmament drive actually involves, why it is happening now, and what it means for NATO, global stability, and the future of the Western alliance. EU military independence 2026 Europe is undergoing its most significant military transformation since the end of the Cold War. In April 2026, the European Union is actively advancing its push for EU military independence, a sweeping strategic shift designed to reduce the continent’s reliance on the United States and NATO for its core security needs. Driven by geopolitical turbulence  from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine … Continue reading Europe Defense Strategy 2026: EU Moves Toward Independent Security

EU Air and Space Shield


Some background to something I am watching and which will structurally change risk assessment and global finance. https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/9db42c04-15c2-42e1-8364-60afb0073e68_en?filename=Joint-Communication%20_Defence-Readiness-Roadmap-2030.pdf https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/b97e2ffb-4008-463d-bae7-e0ef519847af_en?filename=15102025_Readiness2030_FactsheetSPP_0.pdf The CWP 2026 foresees a European Space Shield Action Plan for Q2 2026. According to the European Defence Readiness Roadmap 2030, the European Space Shield is intended to reinforce the defence capabilities of the Member States and to secure the resilience and protection of space assets and services in response to an increasingly hostile threat environment. It forms part of the broader effort to achieve defence readiness by 2030 through the integration of national and commercial space assets with support from existing … Continue reading EU Air and Space Shield