Category: Nuclear

Diplomacy, Geopolitics, iran, Israel, Nuclear, USLeave a comment

Morning Briefing — Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · EST Morning · ~1,600 words

Colin Henderson

Today’s news environment is dominated by the final hours of the G7 Évian summit — a three-day gathering that ended more consequentially than most expected. The US-Iran MOU is the organising frame: it produced G7 endorsement, an Israeli domestic crisis, an oil market shift, and a live debate about the $300 billion reconstruction fund’s terms. Alongside this, Ukraine struck Moscow’s largest oil refinery during the summit itself, and the summit’s final session on AI governance brought frontier lab CEOs into a formal political forum for the first time. The day’s risk cluster is the 60-day window before Iran MOU becomes … Continue reading Morning Briefing — Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · EST Morning · ~1,600 words

intel, iran, Israel, Military, NATO, Nuclear, RussiaLeave a comment

Likelihood of world war is now a risk – ref “The Coming Storm“ Westad and parallels to 1912

Colin Henderson

Currently state analysis in context of potential for regional or World War. Examples: Note introduction of Bolivia as a direct and unpredicted new thread, along side Russia /China relations actively managed by China which could lead Putin to move asynchronously. ANALYSIS Prompt We appear to be in a high risk of a regional or even world war. Breakdowns in diplomacy now exist : Russia / china, us/ Israel, us/china, Iran/ Saudi, UAE,, quatar. Yemen remains a wild card. Output The risk architecture is real but worth disaggregating — not all breakdowns are equal, and some of the apparent fractures are … Continue reading Likelihood of world war is now a risk – ref “The Coming Storm“ Westad and parallels to 1912

Military, Nuclear

Biden Approved Secret Nuclear Strategy Refocusing on Chinese Threat

Colin Henderson

NYT reports US strategy for deterring nuclear weapons to focus on China Biden Approved Secret Nuclear Strategy Refocusing on Chinese Threat NYT reports US strategy for deterring nuclear weapons to focus on China “Here’s what else you need to know today. The Times reports that President Biden has approved a highly classified plan to, for the first time, reorient America’s strategy for deterring nuclear weapons to focus on China. The plan is an acknowledgement of China’s rapid expansion of its nuclear arsenal, which will rival that of the United States and Russia over the next decade.” From The Daily: Inside … Continue reading Biden Approved Secret Nuclear Strategy Refocusing on Chinese Threat