Monocle – Diplomacy | Leila Molana Allen 


As the Sudan peace talks falter, the US must find a way to win back the trust of the Global South This week’s US-led Sudan peace talks in Geneva appeared to have lost all momentum before they even began. With so many failed agreements already, mediators had a mountain to climb. Then it became clear that neither side of the conflict was going to show up. The Sudanese Armed Forces had said from the start that they would not attend; their adversaries, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), had sent a delegation but it refused to enter the negotiating room. Nowhere … Continue reading Monocle – Diplomacy | Leila Molana Allen 

Review of the US economy – Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco


The shifts that must be made before recovery is accepted are nicely summarised here including the required reduction in debt.  Interestingly this comes after a few introductory cheerleading paragraphs suggesting recovery is already here. At the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Community Leaders Luncheon, San Francisco, California As I have been emphasizing, the transition to full employment and the emergence of this new configuration of spending and production, and borrowing and saving, will take time. This rebalancing involves repairs to balance sheets, the movement of capital and labor across sectors of the economy, and shifts in the global pattern … Continue reading Review of the US economy – Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Signs of trouble in the western economies remain for banks


Whether its Greece, Portugal and the EU financial issues, or the ongoing housing saga in the US, we are clearly not yet out of the woods relative to the 2008 banking crisis. U.S. Plans to Expand Aid to Troubled Homeowners | NYT The Obama administration will announce on Friday a broad new initiative to help troubled homeowners, potentially refinancing several million of them into fresh government-backed mortgages with lower payments. Technorati Tags: economy,banks,Greece,Portugal,US housing,economic crisis,banking crisis Continue reading Signs of trouble in the western economies remain for banks

The debt glut and risk to banks


The survivability of banks generally is todays topic.  The Greek situation has one possible outcome of contagion across numerous aspects with potential for another economic crisis, despite the cries from many that the crisis is over. This week Brad de Long took issue with Niall Fergusons recent piece (A Greek crisis is coming to America)  wherein Niall highlighted the international country debt crisis was not just Greece, Portugal and Spain, but included the US.  He is one of many US commentators who are becoming increasingly shrill against Niall and others even raising his personal life style as a means to … Continue reading The debt glut and risk to banks

While twentysomethings – entertainment .. social networking but thirtysomethings – manage finances online | Finextra


I am usually suspicious of surveys, but there appears to be a ring of reality to this one.  There is a link to the survey questions, which I found intriguing. Youth and tech savvy not always related – Wells Fargo survey Stephanie Smith, SVP, online sales and marketing, Wells Fargo, says: "There’s so much in the news about social networking but it’s interesting that just 10 percent of respondents said they make social networking a high priority, compared to 65% of those who make their finances a high priority." Technorati Tags: wells fargo,genX,genY Continue reading While twentysomethings – entertainment .. social networking but thirtysomethings – manage finances online | Finextra

Non Cash Growth as a barometer of Payment Innovation


CapGemini have come out with their World Payments Report – 2009 [pdf 60 pages]. Lots of statistics, but the one that leapt out at me is this. Japan stands out as a growth leader, despite being a mature economy.   Certainly their growth potential is large given the traditional consumer cash economy, but I have to look at the North American lowly 5% and wonder that lack of innovation in payments is not a driver. Certainly there remains lots of cash transactions to convert to payments but nominal innovation in the works to migrate to electronic.  The report notes that cash … Continue reading Non Cash Growth as a barometer of Payment Innovation

Abandoned Schools in Detroit | no sign of recovery here


I have mentioned more than a few times my belief that recovery is not a return to 2007. The new normal will create damatic shifts and new paradigms for bank planning. Detroit gets picked on a lot …. but these pictures are not pictures of a temoorary set-back. Prepare to be disturbed. This might go some way to explain why houses in Detroit can be purchased for as little as $5K. Abandoned Schools in Detroit Researched by Nobuyo Henderson Continue reading Abandoned Schools in Detroit | no sign of recovery here

China and America economic future – Ferguson/ Fallows debate


A summary in NYT of the fascinating Ferguson/ Fallows debate at Aspen on the economic relationship between China and US. Ferguson: US and China are divorcing economically.  China will focus on internal consumption, not exports.  “Depreciation (of US $) is inevitable and the Chinese are working to end the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency.” Fallows: “…  doesn’t know what the future will hold, but he believes that Chinese officials still see the dollar as their least risky investment. Domestically, China will not turn democratic, but individual liberties will expand. He agreed that China and the U.S. will dominate … Continue reading China and America economic future – Ferguson/ Fallows debate

Morgan Stanley and MUFG in joint push


Morgan Stanley hooks up with one of the largest Japanese banks to compete with Citi and JP Morgan. Morgan Stanley and MUFG in joint push | FT Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group is set to merge its securities subsidiary with Morgan Stanley’s Japanese securities operations, to create one of the top three brokerages in Japan. The Japanese bank and Morgan Stanley have been in talks since MUFG invested $9bn last year into the then-struggling US broker, for a 21 per cent stake. Researched by Nobyuo Henderson Continue reading Morgan Stanley and MUFG in joint push