Morning Briefing — Thursday, 12 March 2026


“What Changed” items, three new/emerging flags, five secondary items, and one long-form pick.A few things worth flagging from this morning:The Russia tactical integration item is the sharpest new development — moving from general targeting assistance to specific drone doctrine is qualitatively different and will require a Western coalition response of some kind. Watch for NATO statements later today.The France nuclear doctrine signal is the carry-forward item with the longest arc — if Macron moves from signalling to any kind of formalised burden-sharing arrangement, it restructures European security architecture in ways that will take years to fully register.On Canada-US trade — … Continue reading Morning Briefing — Thursday, 12 March 2026

Benjamin Tal economist CIBC – Canada -US trade future


Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC World Markets 10/04/25 Despite all the calls to diversify Canada’s trade, the country will end up more dependent on the United States once tariff negotiations have concluded, according to a well-known economist. “We are in the midst of a global trade war, and in a global trade war, like in the Cold War, you have to choose sides,” Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC World Markets, said. On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump turned his global trade war into a faceoff with China after he announced a 90-day reprieve on higher reciprocal tariffs levied against other countries, but raised … Continue reading Benjamin Tal economist CIBC – Canada -US trade future

The Canadian roots of Elon Musk conspiracist grandpa


Raised in Saskatchewan, Joshua Haldeman was a tech-utopian, politician and apartheid fan In considering programming and definition of AI the complications and social drivers that brought a chiropractor from Saskatchewan to be the grandson being the richest and arguably most powerful man in the world has many frames of thought and dynamics in producing such a person. Read on for an unbelievable yet true profile. By Geoff LeoMar. 20, 2025 Joshua Haldeman was just one of thousands of Saskatchewan farmers who lost their land in the drought of the Dirty ’30s. While that trauma shaped the lives of everyone who … Continue reading The Canadian roots of Elon Musk conspiracist grandpa

NP View: A roadmap for Canadian prosperity


This country can be very wealthy if Ottawa gets out of the way Published Feb 08, 2025  •  Last updated 1 hour ago  •  4 minute read Parliament needs to be recalled immediately because, even though U.S. President Donald Trump’s across-the-board 25 per cent tariffs have been put on pause, the threat remains. Instead, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau hosted a “summit” with business and labour leaders in Toronto on Friday morning. While Trudeau gave a speech at the summit, the most significant thing he said came after he shooed reporters out of the room so he could speak privately with investors. When he thought the … Continue reading NP View: A roadmap for Canadian prosperity

TD Bank created an environment that allowed financial crime to flourish


Senator Colin Deacon summarised the impact of the fine TD Bank was hit with after the US Innvestigation assessed they knowingly worked to avoid AML rules and thuse became criminals themselves. This United States Attorney General Merrick Garland humiliated this Canadian bank over something so fundamental. AML rules are intended to eliminate one aspect of the transfer of cash or funds from being criminal proceeds to legitimate business proceeds. Deacon is correct in thei being a humiliation for Canada, yet OSFI have been silent on this matter, something I find even worse. Here is a short piece on thereaction of … Continue reading TD Bank created an environment that allowed financial crime to flourish

North Korean Activity in the Casino and Gaming Sector: How Do Jurisdictions Respond?


Allison Owen and Chandana Seshadri 3 September 2024Long Read RUSI. READ FULL REPORT(PDF 687KB) https://static.rusi.org/north-korean-activity-in-casino-gaming-industry_0.pdf This paper outlines proliferation finance activity tied to the casino and gaming sector, as well as the emergence of new avenues of exploitation that authorities should analyse as part of their national risk assessment process. Criminal actors exploit under-regulated aspects of the casino and gaming sector to launder and move illicit assets across jurisdictions. This threat is further compounded by the reported involvement of cryptocurrency as a means to move and obfuscate criminal assets. As a result of this shift in design, a new global illicit marketplace has emerged … Continue reading North Korean Activity in the Casino and Gaming Sector: How Do Jurisdictions Respond?

Workers in Canada are now only 70 per cent as productive as their counterparts in the US


Workers in Canada are now only 70 per cent as productive as their counterparts in the United States, and our productivity growth lags that of the United Kingdom, Germany and France.August 14, 2024 From: Martin Eichenbaum, Michelle Alexopoulos and Jeremy M. Kronick >Many reasons have been cited for the country’s poor performance, over-regulation and barriers to competition and interprovincial trade among them. >But a lesser-known contributor to the problem is Canada’s focus on investment in the construction industry which tends to have weaker productivity than other industries, said Caranci. >Along with regulation barriers, the industry contains a large number of small … Continue reading Workers in Canada are now only 70 per cent as productive as their counterparts in the US

Live Updates: The Fed Hinted That Rate Cuts Could Come Soon


The Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a two-decade high but suggested that recent progress in lowering inflation could enable it to cut interest rates soon. Updated  July 31, 2024, 2:49 p.m. ET6 minutes ago Pinned Federal funds target rate Federal Reserve officials left interest rates unchanged at their July meeting, as economists had expected, and hinted that recent progress in lowering inflation could enable them to cut interest rates soon. Continue reading Live Updates: The Fed Hinted That Rate Cuts Could Come Soon