Category: UK

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Describes issues in US-Iran talks in 2026, including the Strait of Hormuz, Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programme and US sanctions

Colin Henderson

Research Briefing Published Friday, 24 April, 2026 Describes issues in US-Iran talks in 2026, including the Strait of Hormuz, Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programme and US sanctions. On 28 February 2026, Israel and the United States began a series of strikes against Iran. They said they aimed to induce regime change in the country and target its nuclear and ballistic missile programme. Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, was killed in the strikes. Iran has appointed Khamenei’s son as his successor and launched a series of counter-strikes against Israel, US military bases in the region, and military and civilian locations in Arab … Continue reading Describes issues in US-Iran talks in 2026, including the Strait of Hormuz, Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programme and US sanctions

UK

Axel Springer wins approval for Telegraph takeover

Colin Henderson

German publisher vows to retain newspaper’s ‘British identity’ in £575m deal that ends years of uncertainty Christopher WilliamsBusiness Editor 14 April 2026 12:12pm BST The takeover of The Telegraph by the German publisher Axel Springer for £575m is to be waved through to end almost three years of uncertainty and unlock investment in its future. Lisa Nandy, the Culture Secretary, told the House of Commons that she had given permission for the Abu Dhabi-backed investor RedBird IMI to sell security over the newspaper to the owner of Politico and Business Insider. The security is structured to be immediately converted to … Continue reading Axel Springer wins approval for Telegraph takeover

Economy, EU, Geopolitics, IMF, UK, US

UNDERSTANDING GLOBAL IMBALANCES

Colin Henderson

#IMF March 3, 2026 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY After more than a decade of steady decline, global imbalances have widened in they reflect economic fundamentals and desirable policies, the buildup and persistence recent years. While current account surpluses and deficits can be appropriate when of large imbalances raise concerns when they are driven by policy distortions and unwind in a disorderly manner. The expansion of industrial policies and the rise in trade restrictions—often motivated by imbalances themselves—has intensified the debate on the causes and consequences of global imbalances, despite limited analytical and empirical clarity on how both policies affect the current account. … Continue reading UNDERSTANDING GLOBAL IMBALANCES

Canada, EU, UK

Europe update – Bloomberg

Colin Henderson

#geopolitics #risk President Donald Trump issued a direct threat to Iran, saying he’d hold the regime responsible for future attacks on shipping in the Suez Canal and southern Red Sea by Houthi rebels. His threat of retaliation against Tehran ratchets up the stakes even more after he authorized military strikes over the weekend on the group. The Houthi health ministry said 53 people were killed. Successive US administrations have accused Iran of supplying training, expertise and weapons to the Houthis, but taking on Iran directly would carry a fresh set of risks. Trump’s director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, said that other countries should … Continue reading Europe update – Bloomberg

regulation, UK4 Comments

First Look – UK Independent Commission on Banking report has a focus on new competition, but implementation will have practical difficulties

Colin Henderson

Executive Summary pdf 8 pages 0.4MB   Full Report pdf 214 pages 2.2 MB The report begins by summarising the impacts of the financial crisis on the UK banks. Table of Contents here The overall impact is summarised here: Despite recent de-leveraging, the total balance sheet of UK banks is more than four times annual GDP. More than 80% of RBS and more than 40% of Lloyds are in state ownership. Competition in UK banking has been seriously weakened as rivals to the largest retail banks have left the market or been absorbed into others. The general approach has three … Continue reading First Look – UK Independent Commission on Banking report has a focus on new competition, but implementation will have practical difficulties

UK

Some momentum in UK towards breaking up Lloyds and RBS

Colin Henderson

Lord Myners was financial services secretary from 2008 to 2010.  He indicates in this op/ed in the Financial Times that he has had a change of heart and recognises the British banks are simply to large and expose the UK economy to too much risk. Break up Britain’s uncompetitive big banks | ft.com To ensure a further contribution, Sir John should note that Britain’s banks are too concentrated and that each individually represents too great a portion of gross domestic product. Indeed its high operating margins and return on equity suggest the UK has one of the world’s most concentrated … Continue reading Some momentum in UK towards breaking up Lloyds and RBS

regulation, UK3 Comments

On Bank Systemic Risk, International Integration and Capital Requirement | Turner Discussion Paper

Colin Henderson

There has been much talk of systemic risk since the financial crisis hit. I see it more as a crisis of banking and banking confidence, and the debate on systemic risk is critical because it exists because of Government intervention and protections, implicit and explicit. The latest from Lord Turner of the FSA is a discussion paper, that reviews systemic risk and provides as good a discussion on that topic as I have seen. What it particularly interesting is how the insights raise the prospect of penalising globally integrated banks over nationally independent organizations with higher capital requirements. Things just … Continue reading On Bank Systemic Risk, International Integration and Capital Requirement | Turner Discussion Paper

UK1 Comment

BofE Governor in the dark on banking regulation

Colin Henderson

The management of UK banking/ financial system has become highly politicised reflecting the general Browns government style. This from the meeting yesterday between Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England and the Commons committee. Governor in dark on banking regulation | FT His comments to MPs on the Commons Treasury committee flabbergasted its members. John McFall, the committee chairman, said the lack of communication at the top level between the Bank, Treasury and Financial Services Authority was unbelievable. “The tripartite authorities are a communications black holes, which is worrying.” Continue reading BofE Governor in the dark on banking regulation

UK

Lloyds moves to regain independence

Colin Henderson

This is nice to see.  Lloyds is was the most risk averse bank before the crisis.  Yet after the Government intervention and Lloyds ‘takeover’ of HBOS with all their self inflicted mortgage problems, the situation altered dramatically. I hope Lloyds will be a survivor, and can remove government ownership. Lloyds repays £2.3bn to UK Treasury Lloyds Banking Group has repaid £2.3bn to the UK Treasury after strong support for its open offer and placing aimed at repaying the government’s £4bn of preference shares. Lloyds is believed to be the first major western bank to repay state equity in the round … Continue reading Lloyds moves to regain independence