Bank of America plan to repay TARP money


The scramble continues to get out of hock with the Government and Bank of America speak about repaying $45Bn by end of year.  More power to them … this would be a good thing if they can pull it off. BofA seeks to repay $45bn by end of year | FT BofA is on track to raise more than $35bn in capital by the end of September, say people familiar with the matter, which it must do before paying back the $45bn bail-out money it received under the Troubled assets relief programme. Continue reading Bank of America plan to repay TARP money

Bank of America have the right approach – just implementing new things and learning


One thing about Bank of America that I like at the moment is that they are just doing things.  I covered their use of twitter the other day, but its worth placing in perspective.  They are trying many things, including applications specific to the top two business smart phones shown below – iphone and Blackberry. To me this iterative small, one thing at a time is essential.  The bank gains learning, and importantly gains the following of the early adopters, who will support momentum towards mainstream usage. Bank of America iphone Bank of America Blackberry UPDATE: Some additional statistics requested … Continue reading Bank of America have the right approach – just implementing new things and learning

US Unemployment is not a new problem | industrial revolution underway


Here is the US unemployment rate since the 1940’s.  This data says that the unemployment problem occurred in the 1980’s and we have been living a dream in the bubble since 1987. The data says that US unemployment has been increasing steadily since 1975.  Before that the rate was fluctuating in a relatively narrow range of less that 1% based on the 10 year moving average (the red line). The 60 year picture tells us that we are living in a bubble.  Government stimulus will not cure a bubble.  Nor will thinking that we can come out the other side … Continue reading US Unemployment is not a new problem | industrial revolution underway

How can a bank with over 2 trillion in assets fail?


The headlines surrounding Citi are reminiscent of a wolf pack circling its prey. But how can a bank such as them fail? And how can it go from making a billion dollar offer to purchase Wachovia to failure? Citigroup stock drops to 13-year low, fear grow | Reuters NEW YORK (Reuters) – Citigroup Inc faced a crisis of confidence on Wednesday as investors questioned the survival prospects of the U.S. banking giant, and its shares tumbled 23 percent to a 13-year low. The second-largest U.S. bank by assets has been reeling on concerns that mounting losses from credit cards, mortgages … Continue reading How can a bank with over 2 trillion in assets fail?

Kenneth D. Lewis of Bank of America is "Banker of the year"


American Banker have picked Lewis over a close second, JPMorgan Chase’s James Dimon. While the two accomplished significant takeovers this year, the decision centred on Lewis’s elevation of Bank of America into the ranks of ‘universal banks’ roughly defined as big, and covering all aspects of financial services.  And the Banker of the Year Award Goes to …  |NY Times Between Bank of America’s two crowning deals <Merrill Lynch and Countrywide Financial> and JPMorgan’s firesale purchases of Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual, the two have become by far the biggest universal banks in the country, with major presences in virtually … Continue reading Kenneth D. Lewis of Bank of America is "Banker of the year"

The promise of social lending – one that stretches the known financial framework


This has been a weird week for social lending, but an email conversation with the always clear thinking Ron brought it into perspective.  Ron asked if the new model is in fact simpler – brilliant question. New Approach Puts Secondary Market to Work in P-to-P | American Banker [note:  access to full story requires registration] Edward Woods, a senior analyst for Celent, a Boston market research unit of Marsh & McLennan Cos., said the model Lending Club and Prosper have chosen is the one most likely to thrive as this market matures. “You’ll see fewer experiments” along the lines of … Continue reading The promise of social lending – one that stretches the known financial framework

Enormous shifts have occurred in banks’ market capitalisation


The degree of shift that has occurred and is occurring as we speak with respect to bank valuations is simply staggerring.  What got me going on this was when I noticed that the combined market capitalisation (stock exchange value of a company) of Lloyds Bank, Barclays, and HBOS was less than several of the Canadian banks.  So with the valuable assistance of Google Finance here are some statistics, with some notes following. the banks picked here have had their value cut in half the UK banks are in terrible shape with low market cap, and reflecting low P/E the Canadian … Continue reading Enormous shifts have occurred in banks’ market capitalisation

Canada banking sector is avoiding the troubles in US and UK


The press is all doom and gloom at the moment.  Not without reason, but the causes and implications are getting blurred.  So I did a simple analysis comparing three stock markets, their fall since mid 2007, and the relative importance of the banking sector in that fall.  The results suggest that it does depend where you live.  There is an all out banking crisis in the US and UK, based on market sentiment.     Somehow Canadian banks are not regarded with such fear as the others.  This no doubt partly due to the early work of Purdy Crawford and … Continue reading Canada banking sector is avoiding the troubles in US and UK

Europe act smartly, but some additional information on the US bailout raises questions


The Euro governments have agreed on what appears a sensible plan to re-assure depositors, yet keep the pressure on Banks to sort themselves out.  Included are measures to ‘sanction’ institutions that need help, something the Americans had trouble with. Europe agrees bank crisis action Europe’s biggest economies have agreed to work together to support financial institutions – but without forming a joint bail-out fund. French President Nicolas Sarkozy hosted the meeting of the leaders of Britain, Germany and Italy in Paris. … … Mr Sarkozy announced a series of allied measures – including unspecified action against the executives of failed … Continue reading Europe act smartly, but some additional information on the US bailout raises questions