Category: Geopolitics

Geopolitics

Monocle – DEFENCE | UKRAINE 

Colin Henderson

UK tanks confirmed to have been deployed in Ukraine’s Russia offensive This week, it was confirmed that Ukraine had deployed the UK’s Challenger 2 battle tanks during its offensive in Russia. London’s delivery of 14 tanks to Ukraine in 2023 prompted similar military aid from Berlin and Washington. The vehicles are reportedly in use in the Kursk region. The UK’s Ministry of Defence asserts that Ukraine has a “clear right” to use these weapons for its self-defence, including on Russian soil. Heavy metal: Ukrainian soldiers operate a tank near the border with Russia  Despite such statements of support, however, the … Continue reading Monocle – DEFENCE | UKRAINE 

Geopolitics, US

Monocle – Diplomacy | Leila Molana Allen 

Colin Henderson

As the Sudan peace talks falter, the US must find a way to win back the trust of the Global South This week’s US-led Sudan peace talks in Geneva appeared to have lost all momentum before they even began. With so many failed agreements already, mediators had a mountain to climb. Then it became clear that neither side of the conflict was going to show up. The Sudanese Armed Forces had said from the start that they would not attend; their adversaries, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), had sent a delegation but it refused to enter the negotiating room. Nowhere … Continue reading Monocle – Diplomacy | Leila Molana Allen 

Geopolitics, Risk

Israeli Settlers Storm West Bank Village, Drawing Rare Rebukes From Israeli Officials

Colin Henderson

The Palestinian Authority said one person was shot dead; the Israeli military said it was investigating and condemned the attack, as did the Israeli prime minister. By Ephrat Livni Israeli settler attacks on Palestinians have surged in the West Bank, but a riot on Thursday in the village of Jit stood out for drawing rapid and unusual rebukes from Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, whose coalition government includes West Bank settlers in top positions. “Dozens of Israeli civilians, some of them masked, entered the town of Jit and set fire to vehicles and structures in the area, hurled rocks … Continue reading Israeli Settlers Storm West Bank Village, Drawing Rare Rebukes From Israeli Officials

Geopolitics

Straits Times: ‘I’ve been misunderstood many times,’ says former diplomat Kishore Mahbubani as he releases memoir

Colin Henderson

I was delighted to be featured on Lunch with Sumiko, which is one of the best-read columns in Singapore. When Sumiko invited me to lunch, I chose a coffee shop next to my childhood home, where my father would get caught in drunken fights. Sumiko’s story brings out some of my colourful childhood stories and provides a good preview of my memoirs, Living the Asian Century, which has just been released. I hope her column will also encourage you to read my memoirs. Lunch with Sumiko ‘I’ve been misunderstood many times,’ says former diplomat Kishore Mahbubani as he releases memoir … Continue reading Straits Times: ‘I’ve been misunderstood many times,’ says former diplomat Kishore Mahbubani as he releases memoir

Geopolitics, Risk

A Catastrophic Civil War in Sudan

Colin Henderson

How an unexpected conflict is crushing Africa’s third-largest country. Aug. 15, 2024, 6:23 a.m. ET You’re reading The Morning newsletter.  Make sense of the day’s news and ideas. David Leonhardt and Times journalists guide you through what’s happening — and why it matters. By Declan Walsh I’m The Times’s chief Africa correspondent, based in Nairobi, Kenya. After more than a year of civil war, the toll in Sudan is heartbreaking: thousands killed, millions scattered and cities besieged or destroyed across a vast nation three times as large as France. Much of the capital lies in rubble. This month, international officials declared that part … Continue reading A Catastrophic Civil War in Sudan

Geopolitics, sociology

The Dwindling Strategic Flame: Reviving Creative Defense Planning

Colin Henderson

Phillip Dolitsky August 14, 2024 “Strategy is the future of present decisions”- Garry Kasparov “Tactics is knowing what to do when there is something to do. Strategy is knowing what to do when there is nothing to do.”- Savielly Tartakower Strategy and defense planning belong to the realm of the unknown. There is nothing as certain as the uncertainty of the future and yet all polities depend on their safety and survival by striving to meet the challenge of uncertainty. All nations must attempt, in the words of the late British strategist Colin Gray, “to get the biggest issues right enough” … Continue reading The Dwindling Strategic Flame: Reviving Creative Defense Planning

Geopolitics

Middle East CrisisHamas Says It Will Not Take Part in New Round of Cease-Fire Talks

Colin Henderson

Get notifications for updates on this story. TOP NEWS Hamas sends a signal that a breakthrough is unlikely in negotiations. A Hamas official said on Tuesday that the group will not take part in the round of cease-fire talks on Thursday, sending a strong signal that any breakthrough in negotiations was still elusive even as the United States, Qatar and Egypt were stepping up pressure on Hamas and Israel to reach a deal. Ahmad Abdul Hadi, Hamas’s representative in Lebanon, said in an interview that Hamas had decided not to participate in the talks because its leaders do not think the … Continue reading Middle East CrisisHamas Says It Will Not Take Part in New Round of Cease-Fire Talks

Geopolitics

America’s Anti-Terror Exit From Niger – WSJ

Colin Henderson

http://www.wsj.com/opinion/u-s-troops-leave-niger-biden-administration-sahel-russia-iran-5addf27d America’s Anti-Terror Exit From Niger – WSJ The U.S. had invested some $110 million in Air Base 201. The Sahel has become a global center of terrorism, and the U.S. drone base conducted intelligence-gathering and reconnaissance missions. Niger’s ruling junta has also expelled some 1,500 French troops.  The U.S. withdrawal is also creating opportunities for Iran. Senior Nigerien officials have led repeated delegations to Tehran in the past year. The U.S. has raised concerns about Iran gaining access to Niger’s abundant uranium reserves. Several recent reports in the French press have suggested Iran may seek 300 tons of refined … Continue reading America’s Anti-Terror Exit From Niger – WSJ

Geopolitics

DUBAI—Hamas’s elevation of the Oct. 7 attacks’ architect, Yahya Sinwar, as its leader cements the militant group’s strategic ties to Iran, signaling a united front between Tehran and its axis of militias in a conflict with Israel and the U.S.

Colin Henderson

Sinwar put to rest the debate in the hours after the previous Hamas political leader, Ismail Haniyeh, was killed in a Tehran apartment under Iranian military guard. When members of the group gathered to select a replacement, Sinwar—believed to be in hiding in a Gaza tunnel—interrupted the deliberations with a message: The new leader must be someone close to Iran, said Arab and Hamas officials familiar with the matter. Iran has supported Hamas with funds and training in recent years, but the relationship between Tehran’s Shiite Muslim clerics and Gaza’s Sunni Muslim militants was historically fraught with tension. Tehran split with Hamas over its support … Continue reading DUBAI—Hamas’s elevation of the Oct. 7 attacks’ architect, Yahya Sinwar, as its leader cements the militant group’s strategic ties to Iran, signaling a united front between Tehran and its axis of militias in a conflict with Israel and the U.S.

Geopolitics

Ukraine’s Push Into Russia Is a Surprising Turn in the War

Colin Henderson

The local government in the Russian region of Kursk declared a state of emergency as military analysts reported that Ukrainian forces had advanced several miles across the border. Listen to this article · 10:03 min Learn more By Andrew E. Kramer Reporting from Kyiv, Ukraine Aug. 8, 2024Updated 4:08 p.m. ET After months of losing ground to Russia in brutal, grinding battles in Ukraine, Kyiv shifted tactics with a surprise attack into Russian territory this week that caught Moscow off guard and opened a new front in the 30-month war. Ukrainian forces have punched through Russian border defenses and seized several settlements in fighting … Continue reading Ukraine’s Push Into Russia Is a Surprising Turn in the War